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#11
07-12-2007, 02:23 AM
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Re: playing the NFD v shorties in a MW pot
It's a $22 pot, you're going to raise as a bluff and if you get called, end up risking $100 to win $220 with a 30% chance of hitting your flush. Your flush draw is worth $70, so you're betting $30 of lost equity that your opponent will fold to your raise and you will win $22 because of it.
Put simply, all your opponents have to fold over 60% of the time to your raise for this to be a profitable play. I don't see it personally. You lose $30 everytime you are called and win $22 every time you are not called. 
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#12
07-12-2007, 02:49 AM
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Re: playing the NFD v shorties in a MW pot
So you're frequently ck-calling and then ck-folding the naked nut flush draw in MW pots? It just seems like there has to be some better way of playing this.
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#13
07-12-2007, 02:53 AM
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Re: playing the NFD v shorties in a MW pot
[ QUOTE ]
So you're frequently ck-calling and then ck-folding the naked nut flush draw in MW pots? It just seems like there has to be some better way of playing this. [/ QUOTE ] You can call the turn, if it's also multiway, but only if you're certain 3 people will be seeing the river. Heads up it's a bad call. What you have to learn about Omaha, is you can't win every pot. If you have nothing, and someone bets the pot on the turn, folding is absolutely fine. There is no way heads-up you can turn that into a +EV situation.
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