#11
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)
SB: $90.80 BB: $97.70 UTG: $179.50 MP: $77.50 Hero (CO): $109.10 BTN: $221.75 Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players) UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50 Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players) MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00 Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake) MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50) Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50) |
#12
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter) SB: $90.80 BB: $97.70 UTG: $179.50 MP: $77.50 Hero (CO): $109.10 BTN: $221.75 Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players) UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50 Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players) MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00 Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake) MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50) Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50) [/ QUOTE ] zomg 9 outs on the flop and 17 on the turn. this is the worst beat ever. |
#13
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter) SB: $90.80 BB: $97.70 UTG: $179.50 MP: $77.50 Hero (CO): $109.10 BTN: $221.75 Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players) UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50 Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players) MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00 Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake) MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50) Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50) [/ QUOTE ] zomg 9 outs on the flop and 17 on the turn. this is the worst beat ever. [/ QUOTE ] 8 outs on the flop, 16 on the turn. |
#14
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
needing two PERFECT cards to come on the turn and river qualifies as the worst possible beat. even if u can shop it with a str8 on board or whatever. [/ QUOTE ] No. There is one extra ace in the deck. |
#15
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
This is a real beat:
*** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Biosludge [As 9s] I8thelobster: folds y-fold: calls 100 mikebrandy30: folds Pokerkobold: folds pokersafado: folds TP2345: calls 50 Biosludge: checks *** FLOP *** [6s 3s Js] TP2345: bets 3135 and is all-in Biosludge: calls 2300 and is all-in y-fold: folds *** TURN *** [6s 3s Js] [7s] *** RIVER *** [6s 3s Js 7s] [4s] *** SHOW DOWN *** TP2345: shows [8s 5s] (a straight flush, Four to Eight) Biosludge: shows [As 9s] (a flush, Ace high) TP2345 collected 4900 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 4900 | Rake 0 Board [6s 3s Js 7s 4s] Seat 1: Biosludge (big blind) showed [As 9s] and lost with a flush, Ace high Seat 3: I8thelobster folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: y-fold folded on the Flop Seat 5: mikebrandy30 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: Pokerkobold folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 7: pokersafado (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: TP2345 (small blind) showed [8s 5s] and won (4900) with a straight flush, Four to Eight LOL Donkaments and whatnot, but still... |
#16
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
This is a real beat: *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Biosludge [As 9s] I8thelobster: folds y-fold: calls 100 mikebrandy30: folds Pokerkobold: folds pokersafado: folds TP2345: calls 50 Biosludge: checks *** FLOP *** [6s 3s Js] TP2345: bets 3135 and is all-in Biosludge: calls 2300 and is all-in y-fold: folds *** TURN *** [6s 3s Js] [7s] *** RIVER *** [6s 3s Js 7s] [4s] *** SHOW DOWN *** TP2345: shows [8s 5s] (a straight flush, Four to Eight) Biosludge: shows [As 9s] (a flush, Ace high) TP2345 collected 4900 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 4900 | Rake 0 Board [6s 3s Js 7s 4s] Seat 1: Biosludge (big blind) showed [As 9s] and lost with a flush, Ace high Seat 3: I8thelobster folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: y-fold folded on the Flop Seat 5: mikebrandy30 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: Pokerkobold folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 7: pokersafado (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: TP2345 (small blind) showed [8s 5s] and won (4900) with a straight flush, Four to Eight LOL Donkaments and whatnot, but still... [/ QUOTE ] This is as close to 3*1 as you're going to get OP (3*1.33) |
#17
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
Variance: Anyone have a (2/47)*(1/46) they'd like to share? [/ QUOTE ] Would have made a better story if I had gotten all-in with my underpair on the flop, but still, sickest hand I've had: Table 'Gehrels' 6-max Seat #6 is the button Seat 1: corndog04 ($107.85 in chips) Seat 2: DaButcher666 ($140.25 in chips) Seat 3: v.vega7 ($141.50 in chips) Seat 4: jamie4006 ($91.20 in chips) Seat 6: adrockuk ($146.80 in chips) corndog04: posts small blind $0.50 DaButcher666: posts big blind $1 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to corndog04 [2h 2d] v.vega7: folds jamie4006: folds adrockuk: folds corndog04: calls $0.50 DaButcher666: checks *** FLOP *** [Qs Qc 7c] corndog04: checks DaButcher666: bets $1 corndog04: calls $1 *** TURN *** [Qs Qc 7c] [2s] corndog04: checks DaButcher666: bets $3 corndog04: raises $6 to $9 DaButcher666: calls $6 *** RIVER *** [Qs Qc 7c 2s] [2c] corndog04: bets $18 DaButcher666: raises $32 to $50 an2000 joins the table at seat #5 corndog04: raises $46.85 to $96.85 and is all-in v.vega7 said, "no" DaButcher666: calls $46.85 *** SHOW DOWN *** corndog04: shows [2h 2d] (four of a kind, Deuces) DaButcher666: mucks hand corndog04 collected $213.70 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $215.70 | Rake $2 Board [Qs Qc 7c 2s 2c] Seat 1: corndog04 (small blind) showed [2h 2d] and won ($213.70) with four of a kind, Deuces Seat 2: DaButcher666 (big blind) mucked [Qd 7s] Seat 3: v.vega7 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: jamie4006 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: adrockuk (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) |
#18
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
In stud hi/lo, I held AA24 with a 3 flush and villain held Q 10 4 5 rainbow and he hit running 2 3 A while I didn't flush or lo. YOU WILL NEVER COME CLOSE TO THIS WITH YOUR 5% [/ QUOTE ] 7-card Stud Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled outcomes cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac Ad 4d 2d 427609 446899 53069 32 169202 2963 100 0.897 4s Tc 5d Qh 30268 53069 446899 32 24455 6837 100 0.103 Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Td 9d 8h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ts Th 939 94.85 3 0.30 48 4.85 0.973 As Tc 3 0.30 939 94.85 48 4.85 0.027 |
#19
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] In stud hi/lo, I held AA24 with a 3 flush and villain held Q 10 4 5 rainbow and he hit running 2 3 A while I didn't flush or lo. YOU WILL NEVER COME CLOSE TO THIS WITH YOUR 5% [/ QUOTE ] im too lazy to do the numbers but this is siiiick [/ QUOTE ] I don't play big stakes HORSE plus villain was a super retart and the pot stayed small so it didn't tilt me, but I kept rereading the hand history assuming I was reading it wrong. Some sites switch the order of the cards at showdown so it's hard to tell what came when sometimes. [/ QUOTE ] You don't think it's remotely possible that villain at 2345 or A345 at this point? You said it shuffles cards... And how's losing this one... I had 57684 on 5th against A4A65 all in and lost. (he got the last 2 5s in the deck) |
#20
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Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken
here is an example of a 4*1
Player A: 7s 6d Player B: As Ad Flop: Ac 7d 6s Turn: any of the 4 remaining 6's & 7's) River: the case turn card |
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