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  #11  
Old 06-28-2007, 06:12 AM
MotorBoatingSOB MotorBoatingSOB is offline
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Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $90.80
BB: $97.70
UTG: $179.50
MP: $77.50
Hero (CO): $109.10
BTN: $221.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50

Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00

Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake)

MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50)
Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50)
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  #12  
Old 06-28-2007, 07:37 AM
jordiepop jordiepop is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: 200nl permanently
Posts: 2,418
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $90.80
BB: $97.70
UTG: $179.50
MP: $77.50
Hero (CO): $109.10
BTN: $221.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50

Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00

Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake)

MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50)
Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50)

[/ QUOTE ]


zomg 9 outs on the flop and 17 on the turn. this is the worst beat ever.
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  #13  
Old 06-28-2007, 01:25 PM
ocdscale ocdscale is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,718
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $90.80
BB: $97.70
UTG: $179.50
MP: $77.50
Hero (CO): $109.10
BTN: $221.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.50</font>, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50

Flop: ($15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $73.00</font>, Hero calls $61.00

Turn: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

River: ($161) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In)

Pot Size: $161.00 ($3 Rake)

MP had J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Threes) and WON (+$80.50)
Hero had 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, Nines and Sevens) and LOST (-$77.50)

[/ QUOTE ]


zomg 9 outs on the flop and 17 on the turn. this is the worst beat ever.

[/ QUOTE ]

8 outs on the flop, 16 on the turn.
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  #14  
Old 06-28-2007, 01:29 PM
Nielsio Nielsio is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 10,570
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
needing two PERFECT cards to come on the turn and river qualifies as the worst possible beat. even if u can shop it with a str8 on board or whatever.

[/ QUOTE ]


No. There is one extra ace in the deck.
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  #15  
Old 06-28-2007, 01:44 PM
Biosludge Biosludge is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 201
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

This is a real beat:
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Biosludge [As 9s]
I8thelobster: folds
y-fold: calls 100
mikebrandy30: folds
Pokerkobold: folds
pokersafado: folds
TP2345: calls 50
Biosludge: checks
*** FLOP *** [6s 3s Js]
TP2345: bets 3135 and is all-in
Biosludge: calls 2300 and is all-in
y-fold: folds
*** TURN *** [6s 3s Js] [7s]
*** RIVER *** [6s 3s Js 7s] [4s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
TP2345: shows [8s 5s] (a straight flush, Four to Eight)
Biosludge: shows [As 9s] (a flush, Ace high)
TP2345 collected 4900 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4900 | Rake 0
Board [6s 3s Js 7s 4s]
Seat 1: Biosludge (big blind) showed [As 9s] and lost with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: I8thelobster folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: y-fold folded on the Flop
Seat 5: mikebrandy30 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Pokerkobold folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: pokersafado (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: TP2345 (small blind) showed [8s 5s] and won (4900) with a straight flush, Four to Eight


LOL Donkaments and whatnot, but still...
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  #16  
Old 06-28-2007, 02:49 PM
Sphere99991 Sphere99991 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 655
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
This is a real beat:
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Biosludge [As 9s]
I8thelobster: folds
y-fold: calls 100
mikebrandy30: folds
Pokerkobold: folds
pokersafado: folds
TP2345: calls 50
Biosludge: checks
*** FLOP *** [6s 3s Js]
TP2345: bets 3135 and is all-in
Biosludge: calls 2300 and is all-in
y-fold: folds
*** TURN *** [6s 3s Js] [7s]
*** RIVER *** [6s 3s Js 7s] [4s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
TP2345: shows [8s 5s] (a straight flush, Four to Eight)
Biosludge: shows [As 9s] (a flush, Ace high)
TP2345 collected 4900 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4900 | Rake 0
Board [6s 3s Js 7s 4s]
Seat 1: Biosludge (big blind) showed [As 9s] and lost with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: I8thelobster folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: y-fold folded on the Flop
Seat 5: mikebrandy30 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Pokerkobold folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: pokersafado (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: TP2345 (small blind) showed [8s 5s] and won (4900) with a straight flush, Four to Eight


LOL Donkaments and whatnot, but still...

[/ QUOTE ]


This is as close to 3*1 as you're going to get OP (3*1.33)
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  #17  
Old 06-28-2007, 03:21 PM
corndog corndog is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 107
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
Variance: Anyone have a (2/47)*(1/46) they'd like to share?

[/ QUOTE ]

Would have made a better story if I had gotten all-in with my underpair on the flop, but still, sickest hand I've had:

Table 'Gehrels' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: corndog04 ($107.85 in chips)
Seat 2: DaButcher666 ($140.25 in chips)
Seat 3: v.vega7 ($141.50 in chips)
Seat 4: jamie4006 ($91.20 in chips)
Seat 6: adrockuk ($146.80 in chips)
corndog04: posts small blind $0.50
DaButcher666: posts big blind $1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to corndog04 [2h 2d]
v.vega7: folds
jamie4006: folds
adrockuk: folds
corndog04: calls $0.50
DaButcher666: checks
*** FLOP *** [Qs Qc 7c]
corndog04: checks
DaButcher666: bets $1
corndog04: calls $1
*** TURN *** [Qs Qc 7c] [2s]
corndog04: checks
DaButcher666: bets $3
corndog04: raises $6 to $9
DaButcher666: calls $6
*** RIVER *** [Qs Qc 7c 2s] [2c]
corndog04: bets $18
DaButcher666: raises $32 to $50
an2000 joins the table at seat #5
corndog04: raises $46.85 to $96.85 and is all-in
v.vega7 said, "no"
DaButcher666: calls $46.85
*** SHOW DOWN ***
corndog04: shows [2h 2d] (four of a kind, Deuces)
DaButcher666: mucks hand
corndog04 collected $213.70 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $215.70 | Rake $2
Board [Qs Qc 7c 2s 2c]
Seat 1: corndog04 (small blind) showed [2h 2d] and won ($213.70) with four of a kind, Deuces
Seat 2: DaButcher666 (big blind) mucked [Qd 7s]
Seat 3: v.vega7 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: jamie4006 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: adrockuk (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
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  #18  
Old 06-28-2007, 03:38 PM
Perplexity Perplexity is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 806
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
In stud hi/lo, I held AA24 with a 3 flush and villain held Q 10 4 5 rainbow and he hit running 2 3 A while I didn't flush or lo.

YOU WILL NEVER COME CLOSE TO THIS WITH YOUR 5%

[/ QUOTE ]

7-card Stud Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Ac Ad 4d 2d 427609 446899 53069 32 169202 2963 100 0.897
4s Tc 5d Qh 30268 53069 446899 32 24455 6837 100 0.103

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Td 9d 8h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ts Th 939 94.85 3 0.30 48 4.85 0.973
As Tc 3 0.30 939 94.85 48 4.85 0.027
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  #19  
Old 06-28-2007, 04:33 PM
Sphere99991 Sphere99991 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 655
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
In stud hi/lo, I held AA24 with a 3 flush and villain held Q 10 4 5 rainbow and he hit running 2 3 A while I didn't flush or lo.

YOU WILL NEVER COME CLOSE TO THIS WITH YOUR 5%

[/ QUOTE ]


im too lazy to do the numbers but this is siiiick

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't play big stakes HORSE plus villain was a super retart and the pot stayed small so it didn't tilt me, but I kept rereading the hand history assuming I was reading it wrong. Some sites switch the order of the cards at showdown so it's hard to tell what came when sometimes.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't think it's remotely possible that villain at 2345 or A345 at this point? You said it shuffles cards...

And how's losing this one... I had 57684 on 5th against A4A65 all in and lost. (he got the last 2 5s in the deck)
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  #20  
Old 06-28-2007, 04:36 PM
jaminbird jaminbird is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: The other side of the tubes
Posts: 954
Default Re: The worst statistical beat I have ever taken

here is an example of a 4*1

Player A: 7s 6d
Player B: As Ad

Flop: Ac 7d 6s

Turn: any of the 4 remaining 6's &amp; 7's)

River: the case turn card
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