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  #11  
Old 06-14-2007, 09:03 AM
Mingdu Mingdu is offline
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Location: Stealing Blinds
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Default Re: Pretty Simple preflop question, can i call with 88?

I shove this in a $4.40

You isolate the raiser who may be trying to steal with a huge range. You absolutely have some FE and are ahead of everything except a higher PP ...
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  #12  
Old 06-14-2007, 11:53 AM
binions binions is offline
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Location: Toronto, CA
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Default Re: Pretty Simple preflop question, can i call with 88?

[ QUOTE ]
4.40 buyin
No reads on anyone really that would help here, nobodys done anything real stupid.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG+1 (t2630)
MP1 (t3937)
MP2 (t2615)
CO (t6618)
Button (t5540)
SB (t2670)
BB (t990)
Hero (t3795)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
Hero calls t100, UTG+1 calls t100, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to t200</font>, MP2 calls t200, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t600</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero ?

[/ QUOTE ]

1350:500 or 2.7:1 pot odds on the call, with 4545:500 or 9:1 impied odds if you hit your set and double up.

But you have as much as 2350:500 or 4.7:1 on the call if your call induces the others to call, with huge implied odds.

The question is whether anyone behind will raise. MP1 is the logical choice to put the 3rd raise in.

Do you know anything about MP1? Will he risk his tournament reraising against the table chip leader just to get heads up with dead money in the pot? Some players will. Others will respect the big stack reraise on the button and just call.

How about UTG+1? Is he tricky such that he will limp a big pair and play second hand low, hoping an aggressive player behind him will raise? He's the second of your concerns.

I don't think MP2 will push all in if it is called to him. He has seen 2 limpers and a minraise. If he had a hand worthy of a big raise, he would aleady have made it.

So, it comes down to whether UTG+1 is playing second hand low, which he probably isn't, and whether MP1 who minraised is willing to put the 3rd raise in against the big stack, which he probably won't.

On balance, without reads, I wait a few counts and then make the call. If raised behind me, I fold and preserve my 3200 stack.
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  #13  
Old 06-14-2007, 11:57 AM
MJBuddy MJBuddy is offline
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Posts: 1,513
Default Re: Pretty Simple preflop question, can i call with 88?

People saying implied odds aren't there are *nuts*.

It's there; if you know the people behind you aren't going to rejam, call. IF you're unsure, you should probably consider folding. This will be a big pot with or without you, and sitting out of it is beneficial, but passing up an absolutely great odds situation is insane.
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