200NL - AA gets CRAI on turn

[los_toros]

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Baluga theorem is that a raise on the turn means better than a one pair hand.

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hero has two pair

[jhill3535]

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Baluga theorem is that a raise on the turn means better than a one pair hand.

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Does that correlate when there is a pair on the board?

[CalledDownLight]

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[ QUOTE ]
Baluga theorem is that a raise on the turn means better than a one pair hand.

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Does that correlate when there is a pair on the board?

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yes

[pterodactyl_]

I don't know why los_toros bumped this with a pointless post

[Larude]

I wouldn't risk it, the problem is he could be pretending a tilt, i do that sometimes myself and get paid of then. He could be floating the flop with air or a small pocket pair that's all true. I think this is a really difficult decision. He knows you are probably pushing out drawing hands with you betting on the turn, most likely meaning you have an overpair or ATs. If he has a drawing hand he will more likely bet the flop or checkraise the flop, because he then has more equity. If he had a nine in his hand without a T i think he would also checkraise the flop or lead. So either he has TT, T9, a floating 44 or air (something you beat). To make this profitable he should be bluffing or have a marginal hand in this spot 25% of the time (assuming he has no draws). Marginal case, because he was whining before i don't think i will want to pay him off now..... But a call wouldn't be madness.

[NickPoker]

If he is on tilt like you imply he could easily have JJ or QQ. You can't rule out AsKs either. I think his range is large enough that you have to call. If he has 1010 those are the breaks. I can't see him having a 9 and if has 44 a fish just got lucky. WIth all that being said you need to consider your image. Have you been pushed around lately? Have you been playing supper agro? Have you battled with this guy prior to this hand?

[bmanning]

villain could have also have Qsjs or KsQs, some sort of combo draw. I would play it like this vs ptero, just cause i know ptero would have to fold w my image.

Also sometimes i check behind on turn here. You would be surpised what bluffs you can pick off on river. Still his range is kinda large here, not just 44, TT, 9's. Tough call and you are getting almost 3 to 1. Sucks.

[Hklm8383]

I don't play this high but im pretty sure he has you beat there. I don,t think villain is doing that with AIR or JJ etc. You show a lot of strenght and he want to play for stack. I would fold.

[Better Than U]

I would call, he has KQdd.