Theory: All you need to know about setmining - Page 2

Emperor Norton · #11 05-03-2007, 09:29 AM

From whence does this ratio arise?

Lego05 · #12 05-03-2007, 09:43 AM

[ QUOTE ]
From whence does this ratio arise?

[/ QUOTE ]

A ton of math done in a thread in small stakes.

Emperor Norton · #13 05-03-2007, 09:56 AM

Link?

TheRenaissance · #14 05-03-2007, 10:01 AM

Now that you mere mortals have had the chance to drool at just the thought of my gargantuan e-penis, I serve you the main course:

Chances of flopping a set: 1 in 8.5
Chances of losing with that set: 18%

Lets say we need to call "1" and we need to win "Z":

0 = 1/8.5 x (.82 x Z - .18 x Z) - 7.5/8.5

7.5 = 0.64 x Z

11.7 = Z

TheRenaissance · #15 05-03-2007, 10:03 AM

link to original thread

Gelford · #16 05-03-2007, 10:21 AM

Yeah yeah, except that all you win 3/4 times you flop a set is a cbet.

Now shoooo ... back to the fiery pits of the nit forum with you .... shooo ...

HBomb · #17 05-03-2007, 10:25 AM

lol Gelford is quite comical... Imma start reading his posts more

#18 05-03-2007, 02:57 PM

11.7% to hit set on flop obv.

Chomp · #19 05-03-2007, 03:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
11.7% to hit set on flop obv.

[/ QUOTE ]

No. That's 8/1 or something.

Read Dan Bitel's thread above...it is an eye-opener.

#20 05-03-2007, 03:43 PM

100 / 8.5 = 11.76. I always heard it`s 1 in 8.5 to hit your set on flop.