#11
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
[ QUOTE ]
I think the u35/5 +145 is the best but I cant find it [/ QUOTE ] I know, but I am pretty sure that it isn't this case. Mathematically, u40 -130 is the better long-run bet. Someone else please confirm/deny. |
#12
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think the u35/5 +145 is the best but I cant find it [/ QUOTE ] I know, but I am pretty sure that it isn't this case. Mathematically, u40 -130 is the better long-run bet. Someone else please confirm/deny. [/ QUOTE ] I don't have a vig/point calculation for kobe, but I play a ton of nba player props for games and I'd much rather have the u40 as a gut reaction. |
#13
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
i cant find these spreads guys. could you please let me know where you are seeing these. i am not a fan of the spread on the greek
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#14
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
wow.
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#15
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think the u35/5 +145 is the best but I cant find it [/ QUOTE ] I know, but I am pretty sure that it isn't this case. Mathematically, u40 -130 is the better long-run bet. Someone else please confirm/deny. [/ QUOTE ] the value of a half point depends on where you think the true line is. for example, if i think the dodgers are a true 83 win team, it might be worth betting under 88 at -110 instead of 87.5 straight up, but it will certainly not be worth it to pay -110 to bet under 100.5 instead of under 100 at even. the under 40 is probably still better, but in a case like this where the line is far off from the true line, it's an important consideration. side note: glad i didn't find this thread last night. |
#16
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
On Bodog: Will Kobe Bryant score 50 or more Points against Golden State on March 25th?
Yes +125 No -155 |
#17
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
[ QUOTE ]
On Bodog: Will Kobe Bryant score 50 or more Points against Golden State on March 25th? Yes +125 No -155 [/ QUOTE ] god if i was on bodog i would pound that No for the max |
#18
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
the no at -155 for this bet seems like huge +++++++++EV, too good to be true. Statistically, it should be in the -500 range.
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#19
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
-200 now on Bodog, but I maxed it out anyway.
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#20
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Re: Is there value in Kobe under 40 points (-130) ? thoughts
[ QUOTE ]
the no at -155 for this bet seems like huge +++++++++EV, too good to be true. Statistically, it should be in the -900 range. [/ QUOTE ] |
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