Bodog Prop

[JPT III]

[ QUOTE ]
I got in at +275.

My plan is to let Tennessee take their shot on Thursday. If they win, I can take full profit. If they lose, I will try to get good ML parlay on Florida and North Carolina. It looks like the NC ML may keep moving in my favor but the Florida one is bound to grow more costly.

Anyone got any better ideas for how I should approach this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes; let it ride -- no parlays, no hedging. Highest expected value that way.

[volkin]

Bodog's got Oregon +600 to win region. Pinnacle expects them to win 17.5% of the time, Kenpom's got them taking it 18.5%. I suspect Bodog made this line in response to all the action they got on their "Oregon not to make the final four" prop from yesterday. They make one awful line then try and make up for it with a bad one, gotta love it. I arbed the two for a $105 profit.

[knicknut]

I think they took that down already. I really have to keep an eye on their props more often.

[volkin]

To clarify, the bet is listed in their Basketball futures section and is still available.

[Card08]

Best to still let this thing ride? Shouldve hedged on the Oh ST -7 half when I thought about it.