#11
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Re: backing
[ QUOTE ]
500% ROI players don't need staking. [/ QUOTE ] Sure they do. Proof by example: Stu Ungar. He was a 1000%+ ROI tournament player and regularly played on a stake. 2nd proof by example: TJ, back when he was winning everything in sight. |
#12
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Re: backing
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] 500% ROI players don't need staking. [/ QUOTE ] Sure they do. Proof by example: Stu Ungar. He was a 1000%+ ROI tournament player and regularly played on a stake. 2nd proof by example: TJ, back when he was winning everything in sight. [/ QUOTE ] Woopty [censored] doo! I think my statement is 99% accurate. |
#13
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Re: backing
[ QUOTE ]
2+2 should have a sticky or an article on backing. The problems that Thunder Keller's deal with Scott Fishman caused him are illustrative that a young player, no matter how bright, doesn't know the in's and out's of staking deals that veterans have learned through sorry experience. Personally I would never stake anyone 100%, they would have to have a reasonable amount of their money at risk. And I don't understand how you get from 2000 in EV to 200 in EV with a 30% tax rate. Shouldn't it be 1400 in EV? [/ QUOTE ] well if you win 10k, you get taxed 3k, so you win 7k 60% of time and lose 10k 40% of time which comes out to be 4200 - 4000 = 200. |
#14
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Re: backing
[ QUOTE ]
2+2 should have a sticky or an article on backing. The problems that Thunder Keller's deal with Scott Fishman caused him are illustrative that a young player, no matter how bright, doesn't know the in's and out's of staking deals that veterans have learned through sorry experience. [/ QUOTE ] Anyone got a link to further details. And fwiw until Sunday i had a staking agreement with john kane where he got 30% of the profit. If you work it out right, including loopholes like only ending a deal when its in profit for the staker and where there is large confidence in the horse then there is no reason it cant be really profitable whilst having a pretty large offset from what is considered normal. But generally i agree that you should look at staking arrangments like any other business deal. It took a couple permutations until we came to that final set up but it certainly worked for both of us. |
#15
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Re: backing
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] 2+2 should have a sticky or an article on backing. The problems that Thunder Keller's deal with Scott Fishman caused him are illustrative that a young player, no matter how bright, doesn't know the in's and out's of staking deals that veterans have learned through sorry experience. Personally I would never stake anyone 100%, they would have to have a reasonable amount of their money at risk. And I don't understand how you get from 2000 in EV to 200 in EV with a 30% tax rate. Shouldn't it be 1400 in EV? [/ QUOTE ] well if you win 10k, you get taxed 3k, so you win 7k 60% of time and lose 10k 40% of time which comes out to be 4200 - 4000 = 200. [/ QUOTE ] Assuming you are a winning gambler otherwise, you will be able to deduct the 10k in loses which will save you on taxes. So you win 7k 60% and lose 7k 40% which is 1400EV. If it is a one time deal for someone who wont have any gambling winnings during the year your calc would be right. |
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