#11
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Re: DialIdol
The most important predicting stats from DialIdol in past seasons have been the "Dial Idol Score" and "Busy percentage". By looking at these two score you get a very good idea of who is staying and going.
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#12
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Re: DialIdol
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] no bug. sample size of participants too small. only a few contestants are statistically behind enough to make any valuable inferences. [/ QUOTE ] I realize the sample size is too small and because there are so many contestants they will largely be statistically grouped together. My point is not that these results are inaccurate but rather that I think they are incomplete. Look at the Geograph page. Almost half of the states have very little data. It is almost like the database got full at some point and quit updating. However, the Hard Graph kept updating until 3 AM. It is possible that data is contained in a separate database (or table). This looks incomplete [/ QUOTE ] not incomplete. there are no dial idol users in the states that show nothing. as far as late updates, that can simply be dialidol confirming numbers before they list them. |
#13
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Re: DialIdol
On the predictions tab, they list a *score* which is very different from the *score* thats listed in the OP's hard analysis link.
which is which? |
#14
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Re: DialIdol
The OP's hard analysis link are the raw data.
The predictions tab is more accurate in term of who's going or staying. |
#15
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Re: DialIdol
[ QUOTE ]
On the predictions tab, they list a *score* which is very different from the *score* thats listed in the OP's hard analysis link. which is which? [/ QUOTE ] original link is how the contestant raked overall, in all of the scoring methods there are. as far as which variable is ABSOLUTELY the most important, that would be the "% busy" for each contestant. the total votes and other variables mean very little. this is the page to bookmark: http://www.dialidol.com/asp/predictions/...nt&season=6 |
#16
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Re: DialIdol
The predictions page is what is most important. Here you will see the calculated score that dialidol comes up with and also the predicted ranking. As Granny says, the sample size is not big enough to statistically separate the contestants and thus they are put into groups as to where they rank. The other screens are all just raw data and are new this year. I was trying to take a look and analyze them but I don't think I found anything conclusive.
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#17
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Re: DialIdol
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] On the predictions tab, they list a *score* which is very different from the *score* thats listed in the OP's hard analysis link. which is which? [/ QUOTE ] original link is how the contestant raked overall, in all of the scoring methods there are. as far as which variable is ABSOLUTELY the most important, that would be the "% busy" for each contestant. the total votes and other variables mean very little. this is the page to bookmark: http://www.dialidol.com/asp/predictions/...nt&season=6 [/ QUOTE ] Those are very different from what is listed here, which DI claims to be the busy % http://www.dialidol.com/asp/predicti...4&active=1 Edit: you have to unclick the *score* and click on *busy percent* |
#18
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Re: DialIdol
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] On the predictions tab, they list a *score* which is very different from the *score* thats listed in the OP's hard analysis link. which is which? [/ QUOTE ] original link is how the contestant raked overall, in all of the scoring methods there are. as far as which variable is ABSOLUTELY the most important, that would be the "% busy" for each contestant. the total votes and other variables mean very little. this is the page to bookmark: http://www.dialidol.com/asp/predictions/...nt&season=6 [/ QUOTE ] Those are very different from what is listed here, which DI claims to be the busy % http://www.dialidol.com/asp/predicti...4&active=1 Edit: you have to unclick the *score* and click on *busy percent* [/ QUOTE ] The busy signal numbers alone are not a reliable indicator, because the west coast gets far fewer busy signals overall. So everyone that west coast dialidol users are voting for end up having artificially low busy signal %. DI corrects this for their overall "dialidol score" by only comparing west coast to west coast and east coast to east coast. |
#19
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Re: DialIdol
your link leads to overall score, graph style. my link is busy % raw numbers.
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#20
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Re: DialIdol
the dialidol numbers for the females are incredibly fascinating.
smart analysis would buy 50 antonella @ $2, and hope for a good performance soon that would result in a spike of her wsex numbers. the market vs. dialidol is completely contrary for this contestant in particular. the entire goal would be to sell her at $10ish. could be the best $100 you ever put into play. |
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