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#12
02-21-2007, 05:16 PM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i'm offering shogun -440 (one of the best current lines anywhere) on matchbook [/ QUOTE ] shogun -420 now [/ QUOTE ] That means ur betting on Overeem at +399? 
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#13
02-21-2007, 05:46 PM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] shogun -420 now [/ QUOTE ] That means ur betting on Overeem at +399? [/ QUOTE ] No, it means he's offering to take +420 on Overeem, which is approximately +412 (+411.6) after a 2% fee.
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#14
02-21-2007, 06:24 PM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i'm offering shogun -440 (one of the best current lines anywhere) on matchbook [/ QUOTE ] shogun -420 now [/ QUOTE ] That means ur betting on Overeem at +399? [/ QUOTE ] You're confusing Betfair's fee with Matchbook's fee.
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#15
02-21-2007, 07:55 PM
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Re: Pride 33
That juice is very attractive for US MMA gambling now with pinnacle out. I will check it out.
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#16
02-22-2007, 04:45 AM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
That means ur betting on Overeem [/ QUOTE ] Or arbing a previous position on Shogun, which I'd say is more likely... Just a guess, tho... [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#17
02-24-2007, 03:03 AM
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Re: Pride 33
Bump for the day of. What are your picks looking like Performify?
-Brendan
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#18
02-24-2007, 03:12 AM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] That means ur betting on Overeem [/ QUOTE ] Or arbing a previous position on Shogun, which I'd say is more likely... Just a guess, tho... [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I normally am willing to bet marginally on Shogun @ -400 to -500 but trix trix's comment got me thinking. Shogun really uses a lot of stuff that's illegal under NSAC rules and his last fight vs overeem some heel kicks to the face really helped him out. I was wondering if trix saw value in overeem, I was pretty set in a no play.
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#19
02-24-2007, 03:32 AM
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Re: Pride 33
I'm heavy on Gomi and medium on Wandy.
I think the weight differences in both fights will be big. Remember, Diaz was a welterweight in the UFC and is cutting down to face Gomi at a catchweight of 160.  Lots of people seem to think "Decision Dan" will show up, but Wandy is too dangerous IMO for Decision Dan to ride this one out... Dan is also quite a bit smaller, weighing in at only 200 pounds with Wandy weighing 205 and probably rehydrating to 210 or more by fight time.
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#20
02-24-2007, 03:42 AM
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Re: Pride 33
[ QUOTE ]
I'm heavy on Gomi and medium on Wandy. I think the weight differences in both fights will be big. Remember, Diaz was a welterweight in the UFC and is cutting down to face Gomi at a catchweight of 160. Lots of people seem to think "Decision Dan" will show up, but Wandy is too dangerous IMO for Decision Dan to ride this one out... Dan is also quite a bit smaller, weighing in at only 200 pounds with Wandy weighing 205 and probably rehydrating to 210 or more by fight time. [/ QUOTE ] I wish Diaz would go up to +350 so I can put a whole unit on him. He's working with Gilbert Melendez and some other lightweights so I beleive he will be decently prepared for Gomi...while I cannot expect him to deal with Gomi's hands easily, I simply cannot deny that Diaz has a decent shot in this fight. He's taken harder hits and faced serious competition at WW division, he's never been able to put it all together and come out with a quality win, bu I see him having the tools to win this fight.
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