Arenas under 28.5 at -110 on bodog

[Trencherman]

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Well, since it creates an arb, one of the two lines has value. Most of the time it is the non-Pinny book, so there is almost certainly value at Bodog. Good find.

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Must there be stand-alone value in one side for every arb? (honest question)

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Yes. Given that there is a theoretical "true line" for each possible outcome, any line that deviates from it has value. Think of it this way: even if one of the lines perfectly coincides with the percentage chance a certain outcome will occur, it is still only EV-neutral by itself. If, however, a bet offering more than the equivalent odds on the opposite side exists, then it must be a +EV play. In practice, hedging with Pinnacle's lines is slightly -EV because Pinnacle is usually the sharper book and is offering odds worse than the "true line."

[Jordan]

not a terribly good start for thsoe who followed me on this. arenas has 9 of the wizards 16 points after the first quarter. hopefully the spurs will shut down arenas as they rout the wizards

[DeezNuts]

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not a terribly good start for thsoe who followed me on this. arenas has 9 of the wizards 16 points after the first quarter. hopefully the spurs will shut down arenas as they rout the wizards

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Yes, it looks like the Spurs are going for the smart strategy of letting Arenas get his while shutting the bit players out, especially Caron.

DN

[Jordan]

18 at the half for arenas =( we need a really slow second half for arenas now.

[dankhank]

or a jeff gillooly incident in the tunnel

[BooNaNy]

Not looking good for this bet. There is no way this is going under. Especially, Washington being down so much. He's just gonna start bombing 3s.

[paperchamp]

Oh well, can't win them all.

[Jordan]

and we lose by 1/2 point. damnit!

[TheFish]

loooooosssserrrrrrrrrrrr