Variance in poker: Living with the Beast - Page 2

monkover · #11 06-27-2007, 10:58 AM

nice post

raistlinx · #12 06-27-2007, 10:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
very helpful, thanks.

would it be possible for you to add a link to the spreadsheet (it is available somewhere on the forums, but i can't remember where)?

[/ QUOTE ]I'm currently working with another poster in the FR forum to put this and an expectation calculator of his into one spreadsheet. Part of the plan is to put this into a more user friendly format where you just enter in your values and it will graph it for you via a macro.

When that's done I'll make sure it is posted in both forums.

johndenver · #13 06-27-2007, 10:45 PM

Over my first 7K hands of 10 NL, I won ~16 ptbb/100

I thought I was a soon to be poker legend

Now, 11 K hands later, my total winrate has settled to a standard 5 ptbb /100, who knows what it will be 10, 20, 50 K hands down the road

Dont get too high or too low

DMBFan23 · #14 06-27-2007, 11:43 PM

Virtually everyone underestimates the variance in poker, this has been true ever since I've been a member of 2p2. I do it too.

Speedlimits · #15 06-27-2007, 11:52 PM

good post. im on the positive side of variance right now and loving it.

vixticator · #16 06-27-2007, 11:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Over my first 7K hands of 10 NL, I won ~16 ptbb/100

Now, 11 K hands later, my total winrate has settled to a standard 5 ptbb /100, who knows what it will be 10, 20, 50 K hands down the road

[/ QUOTE ]This is what I'm going through now. I was DESTROYING 10NL through about 7-8k. The last 4k have been painful. Still winning at a good clip overall but ouch this downswing stuff really messes with my head.

Win.by.TKo · #17 06-28-2007, 12:05 AM

With variance being such a large part of poker, how does one know when to move up? I'm at 2NL and would like to advance, but I'm not sure what I should use to make that determination.

WHITEBOYAEHS · #18 06-28-2007, 01:53 AM

[ QUOTE ]
With variance being such a large part of poker, how does one know when to move up? I'm at 2NL and would like to advance, but I'm not sure what I should use to make that determination.

[/ QUOTE ]

at around $100 in your bankroll...generally it is said that you should have atleast 20 buyins for any given level