*** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread : February 2007 ***

[Homer]

[ QUOTE ]
Assuming no bonus, what ROI do you guys typically need to potentially realize before considering an arb, both quick turnaround and long term?

Also, if fav is -3 (+110) at book A and you can buy down the dog to +2.5 @ +100 (or +2 @ +102), so you have positive odds on both sides and all points covered, do you arb? Would you take this bet if you could get paid within the day?

[/ QUOTE ]

Depends on the sport.

[botslaughter]

Thank you, Thremp. Very helpful.

[botslaughter]

Homer, please explain, but NFL in this case.

[Homer]

[ QUOTE ]
Assuming no bonus, what ROI do you guys typically need to potentially realize before considering an arb, both quick turnaround and long term?

Also, if fav is -3 (+110) at book A and you can buy down the dog to +2.5 @ +100 (or +2 @ +102), so you have positive odds on both sides and all points covered, do you arb? Would you take this bet if you could get paid within the day?

[/ QUOTE ]

The sport matters because half-points are worth different amounts.

This is a 12-cent arb plus a polish side on the 3. If the favorite wins by 3, you push that bet and lose the +2.5 bet. In other words, you don't have all points covered. Polish middles are not necessarily bad and can often be +EV. However, they are a risky proposition since you can lose a full bet. In this case, since the 3 in the NFL is worth more than 12c, this is a -EV proposition.

[botslaughter]

Thanks, Homer. How much is the 3 worth? Where can I locate the information you are using for such calculations?

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Thanks, Homer. How much is the 3 worth? Where can I locate the information you are using for such calculations?

[/ QUOTE ]

www.arbcentral.com has articles that cover that topic.

[Moneyline]

Boxing:

Samuel Peter: -121 Matchbook (after comission this is about -123)
James Toney: +125 5 dimes

I bottomed out my matchbook account on this, but there's still $242 in exposure there for whomever wants it.

[dankhank]

peter -125 (vip)
toney +132 (pinny)

[AvivaSimplex]

Troy Smith TDs
Pinny Over 2.5 +189
Bodog Under 2.5 -165

[wiper]

[ QUOTE ]
Troy Smith TDs
Pinny Over 2.5 +189
Bodog Under 2.5 -165

[/ QUOTE ]

wow, good one..