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#11
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+EV doesn't necessarily mean you will be profitable...
To edit my last post: what you changed your question to was [ QUOTE ] The question was simply how many bets do we need here in order to turn this from -EV to +EV . [/ QUOTE ] +EV doesn't automatically translate into "profit". DUCY? |
#12
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I think we both understand basic RoR principles, and I think I am justified in equating profitable with +EV. Just because a $400 bankroll does not give someone a very low RoR does not mean it is not a profitable situation.
You want my title or something? |
#13
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More though, why are you only winning $100 for a $200 even money bet? Wouldn't you and your friend win the full $200? You are splitting the amount EV and not the whole of the win, right?
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#14
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Read wtfsvi's post and have a long think.
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#15
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Instead of being a wise guy, why not elaborate on your question? Because as I am reading it, the question is unclear. So I ask again, why are you only getting $100 from an even money $200 bet?
I understand the EV calc fine. |
#16
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[ QUOTE ]
Instead of being a wise guy, why not elaborate on your question? Because as I am reading it, the question is unclear. So I ask again, why are you only getting $100 from an even money $200 bet? [/ QUOTE ] Because that is how the deal between him and Kris is. edit: Also, I think the word "we" should be replaced with "me" in the last sentence of the OP. This should be easy to see, but is that what confuses you? |
#17
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Hear me out: you do this bet once, and win. $400 gets pushed your way. What precisely happens with that $400?
Also, same scenario, you lose. What happens? |
#18
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[ QUOTE ]
Hear me out: you do this bet once, and win. $400 gets pushed your way. What precisely happens with that $400? [/ QUOTE ] $300 to you, $100 to Kris. [ QUOTE ] Also, same scenario, you lose. What happens? [/ QUOTE ] You lose $200, Kris loses nothing. |
#19
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Okay - when do we account for the money you stake Kris?
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#20
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Gonso, I think he means to say he pays his friend at the end of each session, not each bet. If he pays after every bet then this is -EV.
Also, his definition of profit is the larger of 0 and the ending balance - 200. |
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