NBA Totals. Dec16-31.

[fun160]

[ QUOTE ]
Here's what would have changed yesterday had I finished my improvements in time...+5 units over how I actually fared. So I would have been even minus juice. Woulda, coulda, shoulda. That's what I get for going live 1 day before a major system improvement.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just be careful you're not over optimizing, that is, curve fitting your results to be perfect predictors of the past but questionable predictors for the future.

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Here's what would have changed yesterday had I finished my improvements in time...+5 units over how I actually fared. So I would have been even minus juice. Woulda, coulda, shoulda. That's what I get for going live 1 day before a major system improvement.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just be careful you're not over optimizing, that is, curve fitting your results to be perfect predictors of the past but questionable predictors for the future.

[/ QUOTE ]

I know. I guess I should have stated it explicitly. The changes I made had already been planned, just not completed. They also weren't optimization tweaking type changes, but pretty significant structural changes to the way certain matchups get calculated.

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]
GSW @ TOR - OVER205.5/-108 - 1 unit. - win +1
UTA @ IND - OVER195/-103 - 1 unit. - win +1


[/ QUOTE ]

Good morning!

Afternoon bets, just in under the gun:
SEA @ DET - OVER190/-105 - 1 unit.
WAS @ LAL - UNDER213/-105 - 1 unit.

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]
GSW @ TOR - OVER205.5/-108 - 1 unit. - win +1
UTA @ IND - OVER195/-103 - 1 unit. - win +1
SEA @ DET - OVER190/-105 - 1 unit. - push
WAS @ LAL - UNDER213/-105 - 1 unit. - lose -1

[/ QUOTE ]

For the day: +0.95 units.
Overall: -4.23 units.

[kbfc]

Overnight bets:

M 12/18
NOK @ MIA - UNDER179/+102 - 1 unit.
SEA @ MEM - OVER186.5/-105 - 1 unit.
GSW @ NJN - OVER212/-105 - 1 unit.

I'll have more tomorrow when the other lines come up.

[newOcean]

looks like your improved system is doing pretty good. I'm tailing u on the SEA and GSW game totals. lets cash

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]
Overnight bets:

M 12/18
NOK @ MIA - UNDER179/+102 - 1 unit.
SEA @ MEM - OVER186.5/-105 - 1 unit.
GSW @ NJN - OVER212/-105 - 1 unit.

I'll have more tomorrow when the other lines come up.

[/ QUOTE ]
Adding:
UTA @ NYK - OVER195/-108 - 2units.

I won't be dealing with the Nuggets for awhile, but it looks like the Knicks weren't hit as significantly. Their starting core was pretty much unaffected, so I'll continue betting them.

While finishing up the new system upgrade, I wasn't going to make a lot of 2 unit bets, as I need to recalibrate where the cutoff is, but I have this one going 212, and I like my number significantly more than the 195 line. I'm somewhat confused as to why the line is so low on this game, but not enough to deter me from upping the wager. That said, I fully expect to check scores in a few hours and see it 29-18 at halftime.

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]

M 12/18
NOK @ MIA - UNDER179/+102 - 1 unit. Lose -1
not quite sure what happened here. the 2nd half was true to form, but the 1st half was a shootout.

SEA @ MEM - OVER186.5/-105 - 1 unit. Win +1

GSW @ NJN - OVER212/-105 - 1 unit. Lose -1
Thank you Warriors for taking the 4th quarter off.

UTA @ NYK - OVER195/-108 - 2units. Lose -2
ugh. even with OT....whatever. I still liked my bet. This falls wholly on the Jazz. Had nothing to do with the Knicks post-brawl.


[/ QUOTE ]

Total 1-3. -3.21 units.

[kbfc]

Overnight bet:
Tu 12/19
TOR @ PHO - UNDER214.15/+102 - 1 unit.

[kbfc]

[ QUOTE ]

Tu 12/19
TOR @ PHO - UNDER214.15/+102 - 1 unit.

[/ QUOTE ]

Adding
LAL @ CHI - UNDER205.5/-103 - 1 unit.

I like both of these bets, which means the OVER is guaranteed.....go get your bets placed.