I got 1500$ I want to gamboool on a bowl game, help me pick which - Page 2

Thremp · #11 12-15-2006, 10:19 PM

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MyTurn2Raise, you think that LSU will cover the spread? Or just bet them on the money line? Also why drop OSU, Florida has looked freaking shaky all year, and OSU is such a juggernaut.

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Florida has also looked shaky against much better competition for the most part.

blackjack777 · #12 12-15-2006, 11:57 PM

Wouldn't it be funner to break up the money into several bets for 100 bucks spread out over the week?

Just an idea.

12ressiMorP · #13 12-16-2006, 12:12 AM

Wiscy moneyline

mrjetguy · #14 12-16-2006, 03:28 AM

I'm suprised that nobody has mentioned Michigan yet. I mean damn, right now you can get Michigan +1 EV at pinnacle. Does anyone expect USC to win this game? I don't care where the hell you play this game, Michigan should be favored to win. If they want to give me point, then even better. So this seems like an amazing line right now.

Thremp · #15 12-16-2006, 03:30 AM

It seems like you want to learn about betting sports so I'll give a suggestion. Your thinking is really wrong. Like the whole thing.

iggymcfly · #16 12-16-2006, 03:53 AM

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I got 1500$ I want to gamboool on a bowl game

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It seems like you want to learn about betting sports so I'll give a suggestion. Your thinking is really wrong. Like the whole thing.

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Are you sure about that Thremp? I really didn't get that impression at all.

Anyway, OP, if you want to bet a premiere bowl game, the Sugar Bowl's the best value you're going to get. It would be pretty irresponsible to say you're 70% to win ATS, but I really think you are 65% or so here. It's going to be my POTY ahead of Ohio State -6.5 @ Iowa. If you're looking to really feel rich going into the strip club that's probably you're best shot.

Also, I don't know why you're free after New Year's, but the OSU/Florida game's not until January 8, so if it's just for a few days, you'll probably be back to the grind at that point anyway.

FTR, if you bet the LSU ML and then the OSU ML, a win would pay off $1109 vs. $1389 taking LSU ATS, but I wouldn't feel much more confident in getting two wins from the favorites than from just getting LSU to cover. Florida pulling the upset is not a result that would shock me at all. I can almost guarantee that just betting LSU has higher EV.

Finally, if you do end up taking the LSU/OSU combo, don't do a parlay. Doing that instead of just betting the two games individually will cost you $20 on Pinnacle and probably more at a different site.

BeL0wMe · #17 12-16-2006, 11:10 AM

I [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Iggy, thanks man, I was all over your OSU game vs. Iowa, so I've got faith in you, I'll just stick it with my Tigers, and just make it 1k straight up. Let's geaux Bayou Bengals!

dkgojackets · #18 12-16-2006, 12:21 PM

West Virginia moneyline, or the spread. It's gonna be a blowout.

XXXNoahXXX · #19 12-16-2006, 12:26 PM

The correct play here is BC over Navy. This game will not close.

kdog · #20 12-16-2006, 10:48 PM

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I'm suprised that nobody has mentioned Michigan yet. I mean damn, right now you can get Michigan +1 EV at pinnacle. Does anyone expect USC to win this game? I don't care where the hell you play this game, Michigan should be favored to win. If they want to give me point, then even better. So this seems like an amazing line right now.

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Obviously quite a few people think USC will win because the line has moved 4 pts. I'm stuck with Michigan -2.5. Not one of the finer moments in my sportsbetting life [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]