NFL Week 15 Overlays

[alecb]

Sharps got nailed on what games? Maybe on KC/SD, but there were some easy games to pick out this week...

[rjp]

Spoken like a true square. Even if you are able to "easily" find games in which the odds are in your favor actually having wins instead of losses is nothing but "easy".

[paperchamp]

I Guess I'm not a sharp, I had a good week.

[Jordan]

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Sharps got nailed on what games? Maybe on KC/SD, but there were some easy games to pick out this week...

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Oakland, Carolina, Arizona to name a few.


edit: oh i forgot, Atlanta was another sharp pick.

[rjp]

A quick lesson in probability.

For every 10 games you bet in which you've got a 55% edge over -110 odds you're going to go 3-7 (or worse) 10% of the time.

Over 1000 picks you're likely to have experienced streaks of 3-7 (or worse) 100 times. Ouch.

[Thremp]

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It happens.

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Don't worry I throw things as well, and get all sorts of ridiculous things to eff me. Like finding props that are +100 instead of -165 and then watching the game get rained out...

[rjp]

Cincinnati Bengals / Indianapolis Colts UNDER 55 (-107)

The perfect game plan for both teams tonight is to run the ball. For the Bengals it’s because the Colts have a poor rush D, and it’ll keep Manning of the field. For the Colts it’s because they’ve got a poor defense, and it’ll keep the Bengals offense off the field.

Based on last year’s game everyone (from a fan perspective) what love to see a shootout. This game could turn out to be a shootout, but odds are this game stays UNDER 55 often enough to be profitable at this price.