QJs in SB

[lstephen666]

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Doc, I think I've been confusing two entirely different poker concepts. The odds of me hitting one of my cards on the river is 2:1. This doesn't mean I'll WIN 1 out of 2 times.


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Correct. 2:1, means 2 losses for every 1 win. So you are correct when you say your chances of winning are one in three (roughly).

(Winning/losing here is based on you needing to hit one of your cards to win, so really this means for every two times you hit your draw, you miss it once)

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You are saying I will win on the river a little over 1 out of every 3 times when I have 15 outs?

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