ROI Simulator Version 2 - Free ROI Simulation / Analysis Software

[Roland32]

Man I love all you smart people. This thing is great. Thx

[AA Suited]

"The application failed to initialize properly (0xc0000135)"

i'm running winXP sp2.

What am i doing wrong?

[golfcchs]

Very nice program. Could you help me figure out the second chart. The 20 buy in drop says 10.8 cum and 2.5% how did you get a 92% chance to have this buy in drop?

[Rhett]

I think your ITM streak chart is reversed?
--oh i see, you have to follow the instructions to read it right.

[splashpot]

Looks great. Maybe we can get Cit to mention this in the FAQ. It's probably helpful to look at something like this when you're on a bad downswing.

[AA Suited]

how are you guys running the program? just unzip and any directory and double click on program?!

if so, why doesnt it work for me? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

(unzipped, the program is 65k in size?)

[rvg72]

Hi,

You will need to .NET Framework version 1.1 to run this - once you have the framework installed you can copy the file in the zip whereve you want and run it.

.NET Framework Download

rvg

[rvg72]

[ QUOTE ]
Very nice program. Could you help me figure out the second chart. The 20 buy in drop says 10.8 cum and 2.5% how did you get a 92% chance to have this buy in drop?

[/ QUOTE ]

Hi - there is an 8.3% cumulative on 19 buy in drop (in the example in the screen shot) so a 20+ would be 100-8.3 = 91.7%. The cumulative measures that chance to get the sown amount or less so there is a 10.8% to get 20 or less as the max drop.

Hope that is clear - having a tough time explaining that in a clear way since I am caffeine depeleted right now.

rvg

[rvg72]

[ QUOTE ]
Looks great. Maybe we can get Cit to mention this in the FAQ. It's probably helpful to look at something like this when you're on a bad downswing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds good to me.

You can actually use it to calculate lots of things besides SNG's as well. For example, want to see how you'll do betting #32 on the roulette wheel long term?

Set Buy-In to $1
1st = $36 and % to 2.63% (1/38)
all other results should be $0 and 0%
Set simulations = 10000 and Games per Sim = 1000

So we are seeing how you will do in a 1000 spin session:

Looks like a 32% chance to come out ahead.

rvg

[bellytimber]

Thanks rvg, this thing is terrific. To me, anything that gives honest insight into randomness feels practically holy. And it makes whining about bad beats feel like a form of blasphemy.

jesus I need to get laid soon.