Florida - NCAA Champs

mj555 · #1 01-21-2006, 01:23 PM

My roommate will give me 12:1 on Florida winning the NCAA championship. It sounds pretty good to me, any thoughts?

JackOfSpeed · #2 01-21-2006, 01:49 PM

I'd probably give you 12:1 too. I might give you 15:1. Too much parity this year (i.e. lots of so-so teams that could go on a heater and win 6 straight since there is no dominant team. And no, Duke isn't dominant, especially when they aren't shooting lights out). But if you have more faith in Florida than I do, it's probably a good bet.

JackOfSpeed · #3 01-21-2006, 05:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
And no, Duke isn't dominant, especially when they aren't shooting lights out).

[/ QUOTE ]

Duke just lost to Georgetown, BTW.

Ken_AA · #4 01-21-2006, 01:57 PM

The first book I looked at has Florida 15:1, and I wouldn't touch it.

Ken

Caldarooni · #5 01-21-2006, 02:30 PM

Florida might be the worst #2 team in the history of the rankings.

Although UCLA at #1 about 8 years ago is close.

MCS · #6 01-21-2006, 05:46 PM

Florida isn't that bad.

Caldarooni · #7 01-21-2006, 06:31 PM

Those numbers will always be inflated if the team is undefeated.

MyTurn2Raise · #8 01-21-2006, 06:34 PM

my favorite part is schedule strength 319

MCS · #9 01-22-2006, 01:17 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Those numbers will always be inflated if the team is undefeated.

[/ QUOTE ]

The predictor shouldn't be, because it counts close wins similar to close losses. W-L record isn't so huge.

That said, Florida just lost.

THAT said, predictor would have lined today's Florida-Tennessee game at about 0, so it's not such a surprise that they lost.