Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #11  
Old 05-28-2006, 04:23 PM
sweetjazz sweetjazz is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 3,700
Default Re: How on earth could party NOT be rigged?

[ QUOTE ]

Hand 3 -

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($108.95)
SB ($184)
BB ($56.17)
UTG ($282.70)
MP ($202)
Hero ($211.25)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $8</font>, Hero calls $8, Button calls $8, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($27) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $22</font>, Button calls $100.95 (All-In), MP folds, Hero calls $78.95.

Turn: ($228.90) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

River: ($228.90) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: $228.90

Results in white below:
Hero has 9s 9d (two pair, nines and sevens).
Button has Ah Kh (flush, ace high).
Outcome: Button wins $228.90.

Actual EV when the money went in, 52% or $117, result (229)


[/ QUOTE ]

You are not computing the EVs correctly. In this hand for example, you win $114 52% of the time and you lose $114 48% of the time, so your EV is $4.5. If you play out this "coin-flip" scenario many times, you will see that your average win is $4.5, not $117.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-28-2006, 05:10 PM
LotsOfOuts69 LotsOfOuts69 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,303
Default Re: How on earth could party NOT be rigged?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Honestly, worst BBV post ever.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-28-2006, 05:17 PM
sdunsmb sdunsmb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Newcastle/Hudds, UK
Posts: 897
Default Re: How on earth could party NOT be rigged?

This post is very interesting. Maybe Party Poker is rigged.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-28-2006, 05:18 PM
Suvorov Suvorov is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 90
Default Re: How on earth could party NOT be rigged?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Honestly, worst BBV post ever.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:40 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.