NCAAF Team totals plays

[bevo_stevo]

After re-jiggering my algorithm, the numbers for Syracuse were brought more inline with the book's estimates. I apologize if anybody mortgaged their house on my bogus estimates.

Syracuse Season Wins: 4.017
Washington (4.0) 0.391
@Iowa (18.0) 0.112
Illinois (3.0) 0.416
@Louisville (25.0) 0.015
@Miami Ohio (2.0) 0.472
West Virginia (19.0) 0.102
Rutgers (11.0) 0.235
Buffalo (-17.0) 0.872
@Pittsburgh (7.0) 0.31
South Florida (9.0) 0.282
@Connecticut (-2.0) 0.528
Cincinnati (9.0) 0.282

South Carolina Season Wins: 7.253
Louisiana-Lafayette (-29.5) 0.985
@Georgia (8.0) 0.293
South Carolina State (-37.5) 0.99
@LSU (13.0) 0.206
Mississippi St (-12.0) 0.78
Kentucky (-3.0) 0.584
@North Carolina (-9.0) 0.718
Vanderbilt (-14.5) 0.83
@Tennessee (6.0) 0.354
@Arkansas (1.0) 0.488
Florida (3.0) 0.416
Clemson (-4.0) 0.609

Georgia Tech Season Wins: 7.089
@Notre Dame (5.0) 0.374
Samford (-36.0) 0.99
Boston College (-2.0) 0.528
@Virginia (1.5) 0.434
Clemson (-2.5) 0.551
@Maryland (3.5) 0.4
@Miami FL (6.0) 0.354
Army (-25.0) 0.985
Virginia Tech (3.5) 0.4
@Duke (-20.0) 0.914
North Carolina (-10.0) 0.746
Georgia (3.0) 0.416

[MyTurn2Raise]

hah...just read the first one...ldo

Syracuse under 4.5 wins bet 3.15u to win 3u

[MyTurn2Raise]

FUTURE BEAT OF THE YEAR
Notre Dame under 7.5 wins bet 7.8u to win 6u

[B00T]

what site is this on?

[MyTurn2Raise]

ND total is on Bodog

[B00T]

thanks, i'm on it gl this year

[lotus guardian]

How big of an edge do you guys require to make this bets that take so long to settle?

[JPT III]

Guys:

Some good picks on this thread. Someone tell me, does the BoDog $600 max refer to the max risked, or max to win? (i.e., may I lay 1200 to win 600 on a total priced at -200?, or merely 600 to win 300?)

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
FUTURE BEAT OF THE YEAR
Notre Dame under 7.5 wins bet 7.8u to win 6u

[/ QUOTE ]


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[bevo_stevo]

I'm in agreement with you on the Syracuse bet, but the other two are closer to neutral valued. Heres the estimates that I have:

Georgia Tech Season Wins: 7.386
@Notre Dame (2.5) 0.449
Samford (-39.5) 0.99
Boston College (-2.0) 0.528
@Virginia (0.5) 0.484
Clemson (-3.5) 0.6
@Maryland (3.0) 0.416
@Miami FL (6.0) 0.354
Army (-27.5) 0.985
Virginia Tech (2.5) 0.449
@Duke (-22.5) 0.969
North Carolina (-10.0) 0.746
Georgia (3.0) 0.416

South Carolina Season Wins: 7.184
Louisiana-Lafayette (-31.0) 0.99
@Georgia (8.5) 0.269
South Carolina State (-40.0) 0.99
@LSU (12.0) 0.22
Mississippi St (-13.0) 0.794
Kentucky (-3.5) 0.6
@North Carolina (-4.5) 0.627
Vanderbilt (-16.0) 0.845
@Tennessee (6.0) 0.354
@Arkansas (2.0) 0.472
Florida (3.0) 0.416
Clemson (-4.0) 0.609

Syracuse Season Wins: 2.139
Washington (4.0) 0.391
@Iowa (28.0) 0.015
Illinois (13.0) 0.206
@Louisville (35.5) 0.01
@Miami Ohio (11.5) 0.225
West Virginia (30.5) 0.01
Rutgers (21.5) 0.05
Buffalo (-6.5) 0.661
@Pittsburgh (18.5) 0.096
South Florida (19.5) 0.076
@Connecticut (7.5) 0.302
Cincinnati (18.5) 0.096