if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging... - Page 2

b33nz · #1 09-07-2007, 12:10 AM

i think this hand delivers.

villain is 31/28 losing player after 240 hands. no other specific reads. ive been playing sLAG.

first, i wonder if anyone shoves PF here given villains PFR% even some of the time.

ok onto the real dilemma. since he is playing sick LAG there is a pretty big chance i still have the best hand. if im behind i still have good equity as long as my flush isn't dominated.

so here is where range merging comes in. if i shove here, villain is likely to fold some better hands that beat me and call with worse hands that im ahead of. its possible he could fold TT/JJ and a pair of weak queens. and on the flip side its also possible he could end up making a call with some type of hand containing an A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

the only way im in really bad shape is if he calls with any higher pair than me that also includes a diamond which is mostly AA/KK/JJ/TT/QT/QJ/KQ/AQ. this might seem like a lot of hands that beat me, but if you distribute all hands equally he is ~75% more likely to have those hands without a diamond. even against a set i have 9 to 11 outs (albeit he has redraws) which isnt in terrible shape.

i also take down this pot right here probably the majority of the time considering how wide his PFR% is.

thoughts?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $5/$10 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $928.00
BB: $1,015.00
UTG: $3,384.15
MP: $1,054.75
Hero (CO): $995.00
BTN: $550.50

Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, Hero raises to $35.00, 2 folds, BB raises to $110.00, Hero calls $75.00

Flop: ($225) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB bets $180.00, Hero raises all-in to $885.00