Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies - Page 2

hedgie43 · #1 11-25-2007, 04:12 AM

Trix,

Wouldn't it be better to assume Pinny is efficient, find the no-vig line and bet Kelly based on that?

Thremp · #2 11-25-2007, 04:28 AM

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Trix,

Wouldn't it be better to assume Pinny is efficient, find the no-vig line and bet Kelly based on that?

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Depends on bankroll.

hedgie43 · #3 11-25-2007, 04:36 AM

Well surely if your bankroll is small then you would bet Kelly and arb the remainder?

Thremp · #4 11-25-2007, 04:40 AM

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Well surely if your bankroll is small then you would bet Kelly and arb the remainder?

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yes, but the kelly stake also decreases depending on the size of the arb IIRC

MicroBob · #5 11-26-2007, 02:51 PM

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find a local w/ a high credit rating

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yeah.
if you are beating him THAT regularly then I would not be delaying any settle-ups with him.
Bookies this dumb are pretty likely to get killed. And bookies who were this likely to get killed probably don't have that high a credit rating. And bookies who lack such a credit rating may get themselves into too deep a debt and end up not paying/running.

Yeah, you can have your money taken from you online as well.
But a bookie who makes lines that are this bad have to be more likely of running on you I would think...even those who you believe are reputable in spite of their stupidity.

brendanb438 · #6 11-26-2007, 02:59 PM

OP you are tarded. Really tarded. Even if your local is giving you slightly better vigs than online sites this just means you save on juice, how in the fccuk are you crushing a bookie just because you are getting reduced juice?

Anyway Seattle -3 was available on MB for -108 early sunday morning. I was on it there. So your local ain't got shiat on MB.

brendanb438 · #7 11-26-2007, 03:01 PM

Also I feel dumb reading more of your post but you compare to Bodog? Are you fccuking trolling us or something? Bodog's juice is about as bad as it comes online. Try comparing to one of the top 20 sites, not Bodog.

hedgie43 · #8 11-26-2007, 03:19 PM

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Even if your local is giving you slightly better vigs than online sites this just means you save on juice, how in the fccuk are you crushing a bookie just because you are getting reduced juice?

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If the line at Pinnacle is -130/+122 he is going to do very well with his -110.