Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #11  
Old 10-09-2007, 02:00 PM
PantsOnFire PantsOnFire is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,409
Default Re: M, Q, D

[ QUOTE ]
What I'm concerned with in a tourney, when it comes to an all-in decision that will potentially send me to the rail, is this: is it worth taking a 60% the best of it here for my whole stack? If I go all-in as a 60-40 favorite four times, and someone has me covered each time, my chances of going to the rail are a whopping 87%.

[/ QUOTE ]
Your question has many facets, but I'll address the above. You didn't take this analysis far enough. You need to look at what your results are in the 13% of the time you survive. Winning four consecutive all-ins when covered results in a stack that is 16 times larger than when you started. So you now need to figure out how often and how much that converts to payouts.

A sixteen-fold bigger stack than starting stack represents an average stack when the field has been cut in half four times. This would mean you are averaging a Q of 1 well into the money. That actually sounds pretty good to me.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:14 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.