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#11
01-22-2007, 05:11 PM
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Re: KJs hand
"If I just call the odds on the river will be about 3:1 and I dont think its possible to fold even unimproved."
Why? "To me this seems so close as to not really matter." So lazy. 
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#12
01-22-2007, 05:31 PM
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Re: KJs hand
I would guess that he has your hand beat the moment and would fold an unimproved river. The board is very scary and I am sure that he is not bluffing here, especially with ur read that he doesnt bluff often. I think the best way to play the hand is to see the river and only put the rest in if you improve
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#13
01-22-2007, 05:49 PM
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Re: KJs hand
I def think you're beat, but you have some nice outs- ur like 30% to the river against hands like QT or somethin (10% to fill up 20% for flush draw). If you don't like variance then probably Std fold. I don't think AQ is doin this... I think QT, but more likely 44. Besides if river heart, K, or J comes, I think villian is pot committed to call a shove. I like smooth call or fold here. This is like NEVER bluff, and smooth call can save you money if you miss river.
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#14
01-23-2007, 07:46 AM
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Results
He had Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] for the nut straight. I think I coulda just called the raise and mucked a blank river, not sure if thats the best way though. Comments on the hand is still welcome.
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#16
01-23-2007, 07:52 AM
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Re: KJs hand
Morrek, which means you prefer caling the c/r and folding river UI despite getting 3:1?
EDIT: turn->river
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#19
01-23-2007, 03:06 PM
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Re: KJs hand
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If I just call the odds on the river will be about 3:1 and I dont think its possible to fold even unimproved. [/ QUOTE ] This is where we disagree [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, against this guy we're never good when he shoves river. And how often do we get to draw to a boat and flush at the same time! His most likely hands are offcourse QT and 44.
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