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  #1  
Old 11-21-2007, 10:56 AM
Becks Becks is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

I think this is pretty close. Calling preflop and flop I really don't see how folding turn can be an option. So as played I think a call on turn is the best option in the long run. There is about 1750$ in the pot and we need to pay 1595$ so we only have to be right 1/3 to make this +EV. I belive that alot of players would follow up with an allin bet with AK/AQ given the line hero has choosen in the hand.

So to sum up I think it is very close and it depends alot on dynamic and history vs villian. However - I think the decission should be made on the flop. If you call there you should also call the turn imo. You will run into overpairs often, but also AK,AQ or air often enough to make this profitable.
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  #2  
Old 11-21-2007, 05:02 AM
EPiPeN11 EPiPeN11 is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

fold
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  #3  
Old 11-21-2007, 11:21 AM
todd1007 todd1007 is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

you are beat. fold flop.
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  #4  
Old 11-21-2007, 01:50 PM
bigt439 bigt439 is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

i would play the same and now fold.
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  #5  
Old 11-21-2007, 02:58 PM
innerpeace innerpeace is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

call if you hate money or can look into his soul. o/w fold.
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  #6  
Old 11-22-2007, 03:30 AM
irockhoess irockhoess is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

If empire saw your hand, i dont think hed try to bluff you off it often. Since your hand is fairly face up, i think hes doing this much more often for value than for a straight bluff with overs or whatever, so id prob fold unless hes getting out of line a lot this session.
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  #7  
Old 11-22-2007, 07:10 AM
Ship Ship McGipp Ship Ship McGipp is offline
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Default Re: Standard Squeeze spot vs THE ILLEST

yea, i thought that this was close at first, and now i think JJ is close and TT is a clear fold. i don't really agree that TT= QQ here, i really think he can have JJ here sometimes (i can't imagine how else he would play it?) and definitely def QQ frequently.

so, i think TT is a fold (but maybe close) and JJ is suuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuper close, and QQ is a snap insta call.

Anyways, i called, primarilyl bc of the FD coming on the turn, and because i tanked a long time on the flop to call (although that is almost never something that i put any stock in) and because i've called em2 a nit many times before, so i thought he might have put some stock in that.

he showed AQo and i held somehow.
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