#11
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
honestly, I don't like the bet
it would have to be 6 to 5 to be +ev IMO the field is just too far open with numerous name players from so many different teams that could go a long way |
#12
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
This has been really helpful. Thankyou to all who helped. Given the responses, I was able to bargain my way to 10 players rather than 8, and only giving him 1.5:1 odds rather than 2:1... though I had to commit to the players today (and give up on the waiting for WVU/USF thing...) So, here's the plan, if anybody is curious:
Tebow Brennan Woodson McFadden Bradford Booty Slaton Rice Matt Ryan Mike Hart Thankyou again to everyone who helped me here. |
#13
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
Good bargaining....I like it now...nice bet
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#14
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
is the preseason hype on desean jackson gone with his soso performance thus far?
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#15
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
[ QUOTE ]
Good bargaining....I like it now...nice bet [/ QUOTE ] |
#16
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Curtis painter (4-0) top 25 team, 16 tds and 1 int. Look for him to get noticed after this week, and ND. [/ QUOTE ] while great players, no way would I put Painter or Woodson or Brohm on the list for a QB to win, his team has to be a huge winner. It would be a stretch for either Purdue or Kentucky to last and win their conferences (which is nerely a per-req for a QB). A RB such as McFadden can win the heisman even with a slumping team. It would be incredibly hard, but not unprecedented. Ever since Gino Toretta won over Marshall Faulk, the award has become quite the glamour piece for a good player from one of the top 5 teams in the country after the regular season. Colt Brennan could overcome the top 5 because Hawai'i could go undefeated with him putting up ridic stats. [/ QUOTE ] This is exactly correct. Heisman voting tends to be regional. I love Woodson as a player, but if an SEC quarterback wins the Heisman this year, it won't be Woodson. |
#17
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
Nobody knew who Carson Palmer was [nationally] the beginning of that year, either, after 3 inconsistent years. He certainly wasn't getting the Dorsey love and his team wasn't in contention for a title in 2002 like Dorsey either.
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#18
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
go brennan!
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#19
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
[ QUOTE ]
This has been really helpful. Thankyou to all who helped. Given the responses, I was able to bargain my way to 10 players rather than 8, and only giving him 1.5:1 odds rather than 2:1... though I had to commit to the players today (and give up on the waiting for WVU/USF thing...) So, here's the plan, if anybody is curious: Tebow Brennan Woodson McFadden Bradford Booty Slaton Rice Matt Ryan Mike Hart Thankyou again to everyone who helped me here. [/ QUOTE ] Holy crap you took him to the cleaners. I'd lock in bets right now (while the odds are high) on Patrick White and the sleepers Jamaal Charles/Dennis Dixon. Those are the only three names off your list with a chance of winning; the latter two would require beating Texas and USC, respectively, to have a shot. |
#20
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Re: Heisman Prop Bet
If you get 10 at 6:5, it's a pretty good bet no matter what, but I definitely would have put Pat White and Dennis Dixon in there over Bradford or Woodson. Kentucky would have to win the SEC East to give Woodson a shot (very unlikely IMO), and a freshman's not going to win the Heisman no matter what. Meanwhile, Pat White's the best player on a high-profile team that could easily go undefeated and if Oregon beats USC (about 50/50 IMO), Dixon skyrockets to the top of the charts instantly.
I'd say right now, it's something like: 1. Booty 2. White 3. Brennan 4. Tebow 5. Dixon 6. Slaton 7. Rice 8. McFadden 9. Jackson 10. Charles |
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