Likelihood of undefeated Pats

[mrkilla]

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Pats have a 0% chance, because if they get homefield Billy B won't play his players.

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Yeah, this is a pretty ridiculous argument. It's totally different when your team is 15-2 and has home field locked up. But no coach in the history of the NFL would sit players with a chance at being the first to lead his team to an undefeated 16-game-long season.

It looks like there's an awful lot of people out there certain the Pats won't make it but unwilling to put up money until they lose.

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what are you offering

[PokerFink]

It's some non-zero chance, but it's pretty small.

Maybe something like 50-1.

[Kneel B4 Zod]

true odds?

probably 100%

[Dynasty]

Can't this just be figured out mathematically? Somebody with good NFL line-setting knowledge should be able to do this easily.

[PokerFink]

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Can't this just be figured out mathematically? Somebody with good NFL line-setting knowledge should be able to do this easily.

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@DAL - 50% to win
@MIA - 80% to win
WAS - 80% to win
@IND - 50% to win
@BUF - 85% to win
PHI - 80% to win
@BAL - 60% to win
PIT - 70% to win
NYJ - 80% to win
MIA - 90% to win
@NYG - 60% to win

= 1.97%

[Dynasty]

You need to include three playoff games too. But, that simplified version gets the point across.

[BigSoonerFan]

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Can't this just be figured out mathematically? Somebody with good NFL line-setting knowledge should be able to do this easily.

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Interesting. What do you think of Dallas chances, since they have a weaker schedule?


@DAL - 50% to win
@MIA - 80% to win
WAS - 80% to win
@IND - 50% to win
@BUF - 85% to win
PHI - 80% to win
@BAL - 60% to win
PIT - 70% to win
NYJ - 80% to win
MIA - 90% to win
@NYG - 60% to win

= 1.97%

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[kyro]

Hmm, I'd like to offer 3:2 odds on the Cowboys over the Pats if anyone's interested. I definitely think they win more than 50% of the time.

[Kneel B4 Zod]

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Hmm, I'd like to offer 3:2 odds on the Cowboys over the Pats if anyone's interested. I definitely think they win more than 50% of the time.

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Pats will be -5 or so

[EPiPeN11]

Anyone who said 0% is moron. How many times do really rare things in sports have to happen before you realize how dumb it is to think something is still impossible to happen.