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#12
03-11-2007, 07:19 PM
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Re: MLB guaranteed contracts
[ QUOTE ]
Reggie Willits has hit for a better average then Matthews and has a higher OBP over his short MLB career [/ QUOTE ] I wish you'd make a point I could argue with [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] 
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#14
03-12-2007, 01:13 AM
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Re: MLB guaranteed contracts
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Reggie Willits [/ QUOTE ] PECOTA; Willits: .250/.329/.335, 3.1 WARP, $6.9m MORP Matthews: .274/.345/.429, 4.3 WARP, $10.975 MORP Common sense also works against Willits. He's 26, never been a top prospect, and has a whopping 58 big league plate appearences. Sorry. Try again. [/ QUOTE ] I would take Willits over Matthews for the league minimum for 1.2 WARP difference. This should be obvious.
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#15
03-12-2007, 01:24 AM
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Re: MLB guaranteed contracts
Thremp,
I am sure there are items in his contract that could lead to it being voided. But the news articles I have read have made it all seem like a "general" option so to speak. They haven't said "if GMJ was indicted/convicted then the owner would have the option...." Besides at this point GMJ himself is not being investigated by any legal authorities. It seems the man is just looking into the pharmacy itself that "allegedly" supplied GMJ with the HGH. So I am under the (perhaps mistaken) impression that even without any "official" wrongdoing Arte Moreno may have the option to turn it non-g'd and then perhaps void it or do something else. I would prefer Willits over GMJ at this point, especially with the CF free agent class coming up. Besides, 5 years $50 million ugh.
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#16
03-12-2007, 02:44 AM
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Re: MLB guaranteed contracts
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Reggie Willits [/ QUOTE ] PECOTA; Willits: .250/.329/.335, 3.1 WARP, $6.9m MORP Matthews: .274/.345/.429, 4.3 WARP, $10.975 MORP Common sense also works against Willits. He's 26, never been a top prospect, and has a whopping 58 big league plate appearences. Sorry. Try again. [/ QUOTE ] I would take Willits over Matthews for the league minimum for 1.2 WARP difference. This should be obvious. [/ QUOTE ] I don't know. I think it's a cardinal sin to not spend all of the money. In addition, Willits is aboout 1 win better than whoever the Angels would have to run out there as a fourth outfielder, so it's really a two win improvement. I don't think the contract measures up from a pure value perspective, but I don't really think that's what it's all about. Sometimes you've just got to put the best team on the field, and I think GMJ helps them do that.
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#18
03-12-2007, 09:29 AM
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Re: MLB guaranteed contracts
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Reggie Willits [/ QUOTE ] PECOTA; Willits: .250/.329/.335, 3.1 WARP, $6.9m MORP Matthews: .274/.345/.429, 4.3 WARP, $10.975 MORP Common sense also works against Willits. He's 26, never been a top prospect, and has a whopping 58 big league plate appearences. Sorry. Try again. [/ QUOTE ] I would take Willits over Matthews for the league minimum for 1.2 WARP difference. This should be obvious. [/ QUOTE ] I don't know. I think it's a cardinal sin to not spend all of the money. In addition, Willits is aboout 1 win better than whoever the Angels would have to run out there as a fourth outfielder, so it's really a two win improvement. I don't think the contract measures up from a pure value perspective, but I don't really think that's what it's all about. Sometimes you've just got to put the best team on the field, and I think GMJ helps them do that. [/ QUOTE ] most teams have to consider marginal wins / dollars spent. I think the bigger point is that money could buy more incremental wins at other positions. Spending a lot of money is not as good as spending a lot of money wisely.
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