50NL: AK Flop Decision 40bb Effective Stacks

[mickeyzee]

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Do you think average 50nl opponent will shove if checked to in this spot? With ATC he called with PF? Like AQ, KQ, AJ, JT, etc. This is a pretty bad overcall unless he has Aces. If he's calling all pairs I think he also calls any type of suited broadway, AK, AQ, maybe even speculative hands like suited connectors? The only "reasonable" range, i.e. he isn't totally awful, would be QQ+. Maybe you get a free card? I think checking AA in this spot is fine as well if you had that...

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I think a lot of 50NL would push in this spot if checked to because they assume you missed so they get excited "oh, he missed! pot!" I think they push more often than call pushes with speculative hands. But I think AJ is the weakest hand in his range that he calls a push with and that's being optimistic.