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#3
10-26-2007, 05:49 PM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
fold
your hand is face up and he doesn't expect you to lay it down 
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#4
10-26-2007, 05:52 PM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
1) You can discount some of the hands in your range because of how you got the to the river, mainly hands you lose to
2) He is almost never bluffing, so the question becomes how often is he value shoving worse. Not so often IMO, I would fold but not like
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#6
10-27-2007, 04:19 AM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
[ QUOTE ]
why did you bet river? [/ QUOTE ] I expect him to call with a lone 9 or any other pair and weaker aces, because he knows I am capable of making crazy bluffs. It is a value bet and I would do it against unknown also. I understand arguments for checking though.
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#7
10-27-2007, 07:32 AM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
This is a close situation. I'd probably call (getting 1:3). Against a range I put him to: (99-77, AJ, A9s-A7s, JTs) I get equity of 21:78. You told the opponent could bluff sometimes and maybe even valuebet thin with AT (unlikely). If those consist more than 4% of time then calling is correct.
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#8
10-27-2007, 01:18 PM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] why did you bet river? [/ QUOTE ] I expect him to call with a lone 9 or any other pair and weaker aces, because he knows I am capable of making crazy bluffs. It is a value bet and I would do it against unknown also. I understand arguments for checking though. [/ QUOTE ] When you bet this river your hand can beat all those hands. Does he think you can make a valuebet with KK here? I think its more likely he has nothing and might bluff. FWIW I'd snap call this all-in if I was betting since I think a bet is more likely to induce some stupid bluff than a weak call from this type of player.
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#9
11-01-2007, 05:02 AM
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Re: 400NLHUCASH trip aces getting raised on the river
I keep reading these posts putting opponent on a straight, and I keep getting superconfused. Judging from his river action, that's a likely holding, but judging from the flop action, that's crazy.
Also, to the person who said, why bet river, I say, huh? I think the play up until we get raised on the river is good. Vs. a very aggro guy who calls a lot of pf 3-bets I'd suck it up and call. Not sure exactly how often we're in bad shape here, but I assume an aggro player would play worse aces in a similar fashion. However, if he mucks a lot of hands to your preflop reraises then he's probably going to be mucking most of those worse aces, so you're looking for someone who sticks around in pots.
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