Re: Would you go to showdown here?
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The reason I check-called Hand 4 is, we're in a really bad spot if Villain decides to raise us on the turn with another A-high or a 4 or 5 or 2 or 6 or overcard garbage, so I could see him doing that with a wide range of hands potentially. What would you guys do if you bet and get raised there?
Plus I was confident Villain would bet anyway after my flop bet/turn check...the Villains I play against bet this turn 100% of the time after you show weakness...why should I bet and risk getting raised when he'll charge himself anyway?
Edited to add: Wow just noticed he actually checked behind on the turn, lol...make that 100% a 95%, but the point is still the same. In hand 2, which came before this hand, he showed down KhKd, so I knew he wasn't ultra-passive and that gave me reason to think he would bet after I slow down (which almost always happens it seems like).
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Betting hand 2 w/ overpair and the second nut flush draw doesn't translate into him raising a gutshot or even an OESD in hand 4.
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