Official PCA ITS YOUR LAST CHANCE!!!

[Confused1]

Congratulations Guys....

See you there!!!

Whooo Hooo!!!!!

[Confused1]

[ QUOTE ]
The over-under for this tourney is that someone will win a seat with $35K chips. Don't get chancy and greedy at the bubble if you can float that.

[/ QUOTE ]

I had to stop railing when the first bubble hit. Did anyone pay attention to what the shortest stack that won ended up having? With about 15 to go, 53rd place had 24K.

[EC10]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The over-under for this tourney is that someone will win a seat with $35K chips. Don't get chancy and greedy at the bubble if you can float that.

[/ QUOTE ]

I had to stop railing when the first bubble hit. Did anyone pay attention to what the shortest stack that won ended up having? With about 15 to go, 53rd place had 24K.

[/ QUOTE ]

54 left, 53 seats:

PokerStars Game #7394080377: Tournament #37135972, $615+$35 Hold'em No Limit - Level XV (2000/4000) - 2006/12/11 - 02:52:15 (ET)
Table '37135972 84' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Round42 (41121 in chips)
Seat 2: CONVEYOR-MAN (74446 in chips)
Seat 3: DDBeast (68786 in chips)
Seat 4: Rsa87 (33892 in chips)
Seat 5: sportingimag (22568 in chips)
Seat 6: rebachin (49084 in chips)
Seat 7: Pwnasaurus (18293 in chips)
Seat 8: 19sixtyniner (114663 in chips)
Seat 9: EC10 (6009 in chips)
Round42: posts the ante 200
CONVEYOR-MAN: posts the ante 200
DDBeast: posts the ante 200
Rsa87: posts the ante 200
sportingimag: posts the ante 200
rebachin: posts the ante 200
Pwnasaurus: posts the ante 200
19sixtyniner: posts the ante 200
EC10: posts the ante 200
Rsa87: posts small blind 2000
sportingimag: posts big blind 4000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to EC10 [Ac Ad]
rebachin: calls 4000
Pwnasaurus: folds
19sixtyniner: folds
EC10: raises 1809 to 5809 and is all-in
Round42: folds
CONVEYOR-MAN: folds
DDBeast: calls 5809
Rsa87: folds
sportingimag: folds
rebachin: calls 1809
*** FLOP *** [Qc 8h 7d]
rebachin: checks
DDBeast: checks
*** TURN *** [Qc 8h 7d] [Kc]
rebachin: checks
DDBeast: checks
*** RIVER *** [Qc 8h 7d Kc] [5c]
rebachin: checks
DDBeast: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
rebachin: shows [Td Jd] (high card King)
EC10: shows [Ac Ad] (a pair of Aces)
DDBeast: mucks hand
EC10 collected 25227 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 25227 | Rake 0
Board [Qc 8h 7d Kc 5c]
Seat 1: Round42 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: CONVEYOR-MAN folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: DDBeast (button) mucked [9d 8s]
Seat 4: Rsa87 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: sportingimag (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: rebachin showed [Td Jd] and lost with high card King
Seat 7: Pwnasaurus folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: 19sixtyniner folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: EC10 showed [Ac Ad] and won (25227) with a pair of Aces

[Body Man D]

Wow, you must have [censored] a brick with the 8 came on the flop.
Congrats.

[BadgerPro]

There was a stack to my left with about 10k and I had about 11k when the bubble broke.

[dcviperboy]

[ QUOTE ]
PokerStars Game #7394085609: Tournament #37135972, $615+$35 Hold'em No Limit - Level XV (2000/4000) - 2006/12/11 - 02:53:06 (ET)
Table '37135972 23' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: davidross (40014 in chips)
Seat 2: Goods123 (60842 in chips)
Seat 3: Tommie (43749 in chips)
Seat 4: StatusUp (50671 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 5: Piffffffffff (35268 in chips)
Seat 6: kamodadragon (41071 in chips)
Seat 7: Kismet28 (33542 in chips)
Seat 8: Huck4000 (38547 in chips)
Seat 9: jkcva (44757 in chips)
davidross: posts the ante 200
Goods123: posts the ante 200
Tommie: posts the ante 200
StatusUp: posts the ante 200
Piffffffffff: posts the ante 200
kamodadragon: posts the ante 200
Kismet28: posts the ante 200
Huck4000: posts the ante 200
jkcva: posts the ante 200
StatusUp: posts small blind 2000
Piffffffffff: posts big blind 4000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to StatusUp [Ah Ac]
kamodadragon: folds
Kismet28: folds
Huck4000: folds
jkcva: folds
davidross: folds
Goods123: folds
Tommie: folds
StatusUp: folds
Piffffffffff collected 5800 from pot
Piffffffffff: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 5800 | Rake 0
Seat 1: davidross folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: Goods123 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Tommie (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: StatusUp (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Piffffffffff (big blind) collected (5800)
Seat 6: kamodadragon folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Kismet28 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: Huck4000 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: jkcva folded before Flop (didn't bet)

[/ QUOTE ]

Why do you fold this in the small blind?

If you push and he thinks its a steal, your still 80% to win, right??
I'm not a pro sat player, but I wasnt sure about this fold.

[ASPoker8]

Congrats to all 2+2'ers who won a seat yesterday. I was watching almost all of the tables and was very impressed with your play.

[BadgerPro]

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you fold this in the small blind?

If you push and he thinks its a steal, your still 80% to win, right??
I'm not a pro sat player, but I wasnt sure about this fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm guessing this was late in the tourney when we were just waiting for one more short stack to bust. So if he folds he's 100% to get a seat. If he pushes and get's called he's 80% probably.

[Confused1]

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you fold this in the small blind?

If you push and he thinks its a steal, your still 80% to win, right??
I'm not a pro sat player, but I wasnt sure about this fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here's why I might do it.

He will always assume it's a steal and after posting the BB, he's only got 30K behind. If he thinks that's not enough to get through the end without playing, then he may call if he likes his hand. If he does, you have 80% chance of winning, or about an 82% chance of getting a seat. As it is, with $50K in your own stack, you have about a 99% chance. Why would you trade the 99% chance for an 80% chance at 100%? Is it so you can get the blinds, which moves you to a 99.2% chance?

On the bubble of sats, you don't play unless you have too - when you do have to, there are certain people you can pick on to maximize your fold equity - and small stacks that may feel the need to gamble and double up aren't them.

Risk/Reward > 1.0 ...fold.