ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox

[vhawk01]

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Yeah, I figured that and I wasn't making fun of you for making a bad bet. I am just a little confused as to what legend is getting at.

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The only thing I was getting at was whether the poster felt confident of winning his bet, or winning his bet with the odds laid. I knew Jurullo's prop was -EVfor him when offered, but I thought he might have a slight overlay after the three runs (I don't have the WinEx charts bookmarked like you guys). That was all I was asking.

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Ok, thats sort of what I figured but then people had been posting the win expectancy charts so I thought maybe you were making some subtle or tricky point that I just didn't understand. It is a good point in general that people feel really good being 4-1 favorites even when they are laying 10-1.

[jh12547]

Gotta love how everytime Drew is up they show Theo in the crowd.

[sylar]

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if the sox somehow dont win this I will lay some bets around 10:1 that the sox still win the series

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with cc and carmona coming back up, i may give u action on that too, let's see if the indians can hold on here though

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Wouldn't be surprised if you can't get that on betting sites. Presume (generously) Cleveland is 60-40 for both those games, then 50-50 for game 7. That's still Sox 8% to win.

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but betting lines are nowhere close to win expectancy

[Vagos]

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Gotta love how everytime Drew is up they show Theo in the crowd.

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"What the hell was I thinking signing Major League Baseball's version of Rex Grossman?"

[RandomUser]

Way to swing at ball 4.

[Arnold_O]

1 more to go

[ClarkNasty]

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if the sox somehow dont win this I will lay some bets around 10:1 that the sox still win the series

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with cc and carmona coming back up, i may give u action on that too, let's see if the indians can hold on here though

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Wouldn't be surprised if you can't get that on betting sites. Presume (generously) Cleveland is 60-40 for both those games, then 50-50 for game 7. That's still Sox 8% to win.

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but betting lines are nowhere close to win expectancy

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So you make a living at it then?

[Hollywade]

These hitters look like they're swinging uphill.

[Needle77]

Linden,

Whats up?

[Jurollo]

gg. pm me where to send the hundo.