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View Poll Results: Pick 2 | |||
Parker @ CHI | 1 | 8.33% | |
Brown vs. DEN | 1 | 8.33% | |
Taylor @ SF | 5 | 41.67% | |
Green @ BUF | 5 | 41.67% | |
Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll |
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Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1881
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Yeah, I figured that and I wasn't making fun of you for making a bad bet. I am just a little confused as to what legend is getting at. [/ QUOTE ] The only thing I was getting at was whether the poster felt confident of winning his bet, or winning his bet with the odds laid. I knew Jurullo's prop was -EVfor him when offered, but I thought he might have a slight overlay after the three runs (I don't have the WinEx charts bookmarked like you guys). That was all I was asking. [/ QUOTE ] Ok, thats sort of what I figured but then people had been posting the win expectancy charts so I thought maybe you were making some subtle or tricky point that I just didn't understand. It is a good point in general that people feel really good being 4-1 favorites even when they are laying 10-1. |
#1882
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
Gotta love how everytime Drew is up they show Theo in the crowd.
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#1883
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] if the sox somehow dont win this I will lay some bets around 10:1 that the sox still win the series [/ QUOTE ] with cc and carmona coming back up, i may give u action on that too, let's see if the indians can hold on here though [/ QUOTE ] Wouldn't be surprised if you can't get that on betting sites. Presume (generously) Cleveland is 60-40 for both those games, then 50-50 for game 7. That's still Sox 8% to win. [/ QUOTE ] but betting lines are nowhere close to win expectancy |
#1884
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
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Gotta love how everytime Drew is up they show Theo in the crowd. [/ QUOTE ] "What the hell was I thinking signing Major League Baseball's version of Rex Grossman?" |
#1885
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
Way to swing at ball 4.
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#1886
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
1 more to go
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#1887
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] if the sox somehow dont win this I will lay some bets around 10:1 that the sox still win the series [/ QUOTE ] with cc and carmona coming back up, i may give u action on that too, let's see if the indians can hold on here though [/ QUOTE ] Wouldn't be surprised if you can't get that on betting sites. Presume (generously) Cleveland is 60-40 for both those games, then 50-50 for game 7. That's still Sox 8% to win. [/ QUOTE ] but betting lines are nowhere close to win expectancy [/ QUOTE ] So you make a living at it then? |
#1888
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
These hitters look like they're swinging uphill.
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#1889
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
Linden,
Whats up? |
#1890
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Re: ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox
gg. pm me where to send the hundo.
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