Week 4 College Football Weekend Thread

[Alzee]

i was tilt'n a bit on this Oregon game, i was so confident on it on the outset, then the 2H wagers... +5u on this game (thanks to Dixon)

[Alzee]

43-32 YTD (+9.5u)

[MyTurn2Raise]

ho-hum to go with a ho-hum season

My models are kind of letting me down. I'm going to do some more analysis soon. Fortunately, I hit enough of my multi-unit plays to cover the juice and then some on the week. Unfortunately, I erred and did not post UConn +8.5 +103, which was one of my plays. Obviously, that game will not go in my record here (but it does go in my wallet). I did miss the POTW though as the Illini D held Indiana's scoring down through creating turnovers.

Without further ado:
*********WEEK 4*************
Week 4 summary
bet 111.08 units
up 0.54 units
45-45 sides/totals
14-16 Game ATS
5-1 Game O/U
10-16 2nd Half ATS
16-12 2nd Half O/U
0-1 POTW


POTW: Indiana +3 v Illinois bet 3.3u to win 3u -LOSS 27-14 Illinois
USF -12.5 v UNC bet 3.3u to win 3u +WIN 37-10 South Florida
Wisconsin -7 v Iowa bet 3.15u to win 3u -LOSS 17-13 Wisky
Michigan St -10.5 @ Notre Dame bet 3.09u to win 3u +WIN 31-14 MSU
Purdue -13.5 @ Minny bet 2.2u to win 2u +WIN 45-31 Purdue
tOSU -23.5 @ N'Western bet 2.2u to win 2u +WIN 58-7 tOSU
Kansas -30 v FIU bet 2.2u to win 2u +WIN 55-3 Kansas
LSU -17 v USC bet 2.1u to win 2u -LOSS 28-16 LSU
Troy -9 @ UL-Lafayette bet 2.02u to win 2u +WIN 48-31 Troy
San Jose St +3 @ Utah St bet 2u to win 2u +WIN 23-20 SJSU
Penn St -3 @ Michigan bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 14-9 Michigan
Georgia +4 @ Bama bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 26-23 Georgia
Baylor -3 @ Buffalo bet 1.04u to win 1u +WIN 34-21 Baylor
BC -27 v Army bet 1.01u to win 1u -LOSS 37-17 BC
Nebraska -22.5 v Ball St bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 41-40 Nebraska
Air Force +12 @ BYU bet 1.04u to win 1u -LOSS 31-6 BYU
Washington +6 @ UCLA bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 44-31 UCLA
Ole Miss +23.5 v Florida bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 30-24 Florida
G Tech -3.5 @ Virginia bet 1u to win 1.03u -LOSS 28-23 Virginia
Idaho -3 v NIU bet 1.03u to win 1u -LOSS 42-35 NIU
Bowling Green -21 v Temple bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 48-35 Bowling Green
East Carolina +24 @ WVU bet 1.02u to win 1u -LOSS 48-7 WVU
Toledo +3.5 v Iowa St bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 36-35 Toledo
Clemson -7 @ NC St bet 1.02u to win 1u +WIN 42-20 Clemson
Cincy -24 v Marshall bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 40-16 Cincy
Texas -38 v Rice bet 1.03u to win 1u +WIN 58-14 Texas
Wazzu +25.5 @ SC bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 47-14 SC
Utah -7.5 @ UNLV bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 27-0 UNLV
Oregon St +11 @ ASU bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 44-32 ASU
Tulsa +24.5 v Oklahoma bet 1.15u to win 1u -LOSS 62-21 Oklahoma
Texas A&M/Miami o45 bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 51 points
Miami Oh/Colorado u50 bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 42 points
Ball St/Nebraska u62.5 bet 1.09u to win 1u -LOSS 81 points
Georgia/Alabama o46.5 bet 1.06u to win 1u +WIN 49 points
Colorado St/Houston o64 bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 65 points
UConn/PITT o43 bet 1.03u to win 1u +WIN 48 points



Oklahoma -10.5 @ Tulsa 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 27-7 Oklahoma
Oklahoma/Tulsa o32 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 34 points
W Virginia -10 v E Carolina 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 21-7 WVU
E Carolina/WVU o23.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 28 points
Syracuse/L'Ville u34 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 45 points
Akron +3 v Kent 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 20-13 Akron
Kent/Akron o21 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 33 points
Illinois/Indiana o28 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 14 points
Temple/Bowling Green u27 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 41 points
Syracuse +20 @ L'Ville 2nd Half bet 1.15u to win 1u +WIN 28-17 L'Ville
G Tech/Virginia u21 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 13 points
Ball St/Nebraska o27.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 57 points
Clemson -3 @ NCST 2nd half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 15-6 Clemson
Clemson/NCST u27 2nd Half bet 1.15u to win 1u +WIN 21 points
Bowling Green -9.5 v Temple 2nd Half bet 1.15u to win 1u +WIN 27-14 Bowling Green
Florida/Ole Miss o26.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 34 points
Duke/Navy u31 2nd half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 25 points
Duke +10 @ Navy 2nd Half bet 1.3u to win 1u -LOSS 21-7 Navy
Air Force/BYU o24 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 20 points
Ohio +3 v Wyoming 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 31-16 Wyoming
Wyoming/Ohio u22 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 41 points
Penn St/Michigan o20.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 13 points
Maryland +3 @ Wake 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 28-7 Wake
Memphis/UCF o23.5 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 34 points
UCF -3 v Memphis 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u -LOSS 20-14 Memphis
Miami Oh/Col o21 2nd Half bet 1.2u to win 1u -LOSS 14 points
tOSU -9.5 v N'western 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 13-7 tOSU
LSU -7.5 v USC 2nd half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 9-7 USC
MSU/ND u23.5 2nd half bet 1.15u to win 1u +WIN 14 points
T Tech -0.5 @ Okie St 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 21-10 Okie St
CSU/Houston o29.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 45 points
CSU +5 @ Houston 2nd Half bet 1.1u -LOSS 35-10 Houston
Kentucky/Arkansas o31.5 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 37 points
Baylor pk @ Buffalo 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 24-14 Baylor
Baylor/Buffalo o24.5 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 38 points
Cal -6.5 v Arizona 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 17-14 Arizona
Iowa St/Toledo u27.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 47 points
NMST/Auburn u28 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 34 points
Fla Atl/N Texas u29 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 23 points
Troy -3.5 @ UL-Lafayette 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 27-14 Troy
Tennessee -7.5 v Arkansas St 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 17-10 Tennessee
Texas -14 v Rice 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 17-7 Texas
Rice/Texas o28 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 24 points
Georgia/Alabama o21 2nd Half bet 1u to win 1u +WIN 36 points
Georgia +3 @ Alabama 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u -LOSS 20-16 Alabama
Cincinnati -9.5 v Marshall 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 14-6 Cincy
SC -11 v Wazzu 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 20-7 SC
Wazzu/SC o28.5 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 27 points
SMU/TCU o24 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 0 points
TCU -9.5 v SMU 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 0-0
Iowa +4.5 @ Wisky 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u -LOSS 10-3 Wisky
UNLV +6 v Utah 2nd Half bet 1.1u to win 1u +WIN 14-0 UNLV
Stanford +13 v Oregon 2nd Half bet 1.2u to win 1u -LOSS 31-0 Oregon
Oregon/Stanford u32.5 2nd Half bet 1.05u to win 1u +WIN 31 points

[dankhank]

sports betting is so sick. last year i had winning sessions in 9 or 10 of the 11 college football weeks, and i did well in bowl season. this year i have lost in 3 of 4 weeks and broke even in the other. i have already lost at least 1/3 of my entire year's sports betting profits.

there are some bad picks, but a ton of sick beats too. my bad beat to suckout ratio is running at about 10 to 1. my numbers are mostly really good, especially on totals. i am getting killed on totals. the bookmakers at SIA are such geniuses, not moving their totals until 12 hours later, so they can trap me into playing ark/kentucky under 68.

at least in poker when you have a big loss you can point to mistakes on your own part or to bad beats that have a firm percentage attached to them. when you get killed in sports it feels so damn SILLY.

[Austiger]

[ QUOTE ]
10-6 this week +3.5 units. +4.5 units YTD

I caught a few 4th qtr breaks this week, but losing the USC under sucked. The last 2 drives were USC taking it inside the 10, turning it over, then WSU taking all the way inside the other 10 and the game ends. Bleh, all I needed was a FG.

[/ QUOTE ]

I made a mistake, counting the Bama/UGA over as a L when it was a W. Here are my corrected stats:

11-5 on the week for +5.7 units. 42-32 YTD for +6.6 units.

Miami -2.5 -110 W
TA&M PK 2H -110 W
Tulsa +24 -110 L
OU/Tulsa o66 -110 W
OU 2H -10 -115 W
OU/Tulsa Over 2H 31.5 -110 W
South Carolina +18.5 -110 W
MSU/ND u23 2H -105 W
Ohio St Northwestern Under 47 -105 L
Michigan PSU Over 45.5 -110 L
Auburn NMSU Under 55.5 -110 L
Wake Maryland Over 41.5 -110 W
USC WSU Over 63.5 -110 L
USF UNC Under 50.5 -110 W
Mich St -9 -110 W
UGA/Bama o46 -110 W

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
There's that much retardo-homerism to counter the sharps that close to K.O.??

You would think there would be enough sharps jumping all over it to keep it SOMEWHAT balanced if it was as out-of-whack as I thought it was.

[/ QUOTE ]

Heh. Look at the prices the "sharps" in this thread got. What do you think?

[/ QUOTE ]


Am I supposed to consider a majority of the posters in this thread to be 'sharps'? I never had before.

[/ QUOTE ]

You think the sharps were betting ND+8.5 instead of ND +14 or +12 earlier in the week/day?
Sick level, both of you.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
lol...i forgot to post my UCONN play....I had bet it for one unit and was debating putting more down....forgot to post

I'm running so bad that I don't post winnerz now

ROFL

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep, same here on the Kentucky ML. Totally forgot about it today with the PSU game and doing alot of drinking during, after.
Nice of UW to give up the 80-yd run and 95-KO return for TDs in the 4th. Oh well.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

TxAM +3, 1u LOSS
MichSt -12.5, 2u winner
PSU -3, 1u LOSS
Troy -8, 2u / -9.5, 1u winner
UCF -7, 1u winner
NMexSt +17, 1u LOSS, what a collapse
BYU -9, 1u winner
UNC +14, 1u LOSS
Wash +6.5/-110 1u at sia

[/ QUOTE ]

4-4 day so far, Wash looking like a loss currently
+2.65 on day b4 Wash outcome

[/ QUOTE ]

4-5, +1.55u today. At least I nailed Troy, even if DrBob was the other way.

[ksufan19]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

TxAM +3, 1u LOSS
MichSt -12.5, 2u winner
PSU -3, 1u LOSS
Troy -8, 2u / -9.5, 1u winner
UCF -7, 1u winner
NMexSt +17, 1u LOSS, what a collapse
BYU -9, 1u winner
UNC +14, 1u LOSS
Wash +6.5/-110 1u at sia

[/ QUOTE ]

4-4 day so far, Wash looking like a loss currently
+2.65 on day b4 Wash outcome

[/ QUOTE ]

4-5, +1.55u today. At least I nailed Troy, even if DrBob was the other way.

[/ QUOTE ]

old bob had a brutal week to say the least. i think he's losing his luster.

[Mediocre_Player]

new betting method - fade dr. bob after the public moves his lines? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]