TomG's Robot Professional MLB Betting

[AllinDan]

Hafner should get the start at 1b today. That said the line has shifted so I doubt there's any value on CLE

[rsigley]

i saw you had another thread about excel questions, but i can't seem to find it

i was wondering where you get the mlb data you import into excel? do you use dougstats or another site? i like dougstats, but its not that in depth, was wondering if there's another one out there

thanks

[TomG]

I used dougstats.com for historic MLB data... I used them for hitting stats from 2006 and pitching from 2004-2006. That info isn't going to change, so I throw that all in a historic tab in Excel. Each team then has their own current stats tab. I populate those tabs with data that I pull from espn.com using Data -> Import External Data -> New Web Query... I recommend Hardball Times for more advanced stats. I recommend you use the same approach separating out historic stats vs. this season stats so you have an easier time updating your data with new information.

[TomG]

Two extremely frustraing night games turn a potentially profitable night into a big loser... As the Dodgers find a way to screw me over two nights in a row!

Updated YTD:
99.86 units wagered
+15.49 units
+15.5% ROI

To put things into perspective, however, despite this recent downswing we've approached 100 units wagered and so far this system is doing much better than I had initially hoped.

[TomG]

Updated YTD:
103.51 units wagered
+19.04 units
+18.4% ROI

Today we re-pozz, going 3-0 after a couple of losing days. I didn't get around to handicapping until tonight but there are a lot of games I like for Sunday...

Milwaukee at Texas
Milwaukee -106
Risk 1.06 units to win 1 unit

Boston at Arizona
Arizona +107
Risk 1 unit to win 1.07 units

Oakland at San Francisco
San Francisco -127
Risk 1.27 units to win 1 unit

Seattle at San Diego
San Diego -112
Risk 1.12 units to win 1 unit

LA Angels at St. Louis
St. Louis +141
Risk 1 unit to win 1.41 units

Philadelphia at Kansas City
Philadelphia -133
Risk 1.33 units to win 1 unit

Houston at Chicago White Sox
Houston +130
Risk 1 unit to win 1.30 units

[erroneous]

[ QUOTE ]

Saturday MLB...

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta
Atlanta -150
Risk 1.50 units to win 1 unit

Philadelphia at Kansas City
Philadelphia -115
Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Toronto at LA Dodgers
Toronto +155
Risk 1 unit to win 1.55 units

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice.................Keep em comin

[AllinDan]

[ QUOTE ]
Philadelphia at Kansas City
Philadelphia -133
Risk 1.33 units to win 1 unit

[/ QUOTE ]

oops! I already had KC in this game as one of Crock's picks, then got drunk last night and decided I wanted more action today so I bet it again, on the PHI side. A hot -133/+130 reverse arb.

gl in the afternoon games

[TomG]

Whoops, haha I've done the same thing several times as well. I'm now extra careful to run down other poster's picks and weed out the ones that I've already bet. Occassionally I knowingly bet the other side at +1.5 if I can get it at a favorable price.

SFG has been torture to sweat this series. I can't tell if Oakland pitching is that good or San Francisco hitting is that bad. Can we please score a run??

[Limpfold]

[ QUOTE ]

San Francisco hitting is that bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Limpfold]

Annoying end to that Padres game [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]
Way to waste a leadoff double in bottom of the 8th, Seattle at least showed them how to get that runner home in the 9th..