All 3 Boston teams winning the championship??

[Toro]

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ytf, how much of that is influenced by retard Sox fans who think their team can do no wrong? I was under the impression oddsmakers set lines they thought would result in the largest profit, not what they actually thought the lines SHOULD be.

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I always thought the lines were set to get equal action on both sides so the books would have no risk.

[kyro]

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ytf, how much of that is influenced by retard Sox fans who think their team can do no wrong? I was under the impression oddsmakers set lines they thought would result in the largest profit, not what they actually thought the lines SHOULD be.

[/ QUOTE ]

I always thought the lines were set to get equal action on both sides so the books would have no risk.

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You know, I was going to say that, and then I changed it. I believe you're right. But that still means they're going to set the line where they think idiot Red sox fans will pump in money on the wrong side to balance it out.

[Jack of Arcades]

Is that the actual percentage, or just a good line? Because I doubt the Sox would really be 65% over the Tribe in a 5 game series. At least, I think that's what -190 converts to... I don't think many teams are 65% over any team in a 5-game playoff.

[TheRover]

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[ QUOTE ]
ytf, how much of that is influenced by retard Sox fans who think their team can do no wrong? I was under the impression oddsmakers set lines they thought would result in the largest profit, not what they actually thought the lines SHOULD be.

[/ QUOTE ]

I always thought the lines were set to get equal action on both sides so the books would have no risk.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why in the world would the books want to avoid risk and minimize their EV? You are wrong.

[kyro]

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ytf, how much of that is influenced by retard Sox fans who think their team can do no wrong? I was under the impression oddsmakers set lines they thought would result in the largest profit, not what they actually thought the lines SHOULD be.

[/ QUOTE ]

I always thought the lines were set to get equal action on both sides so the books would have no risk.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why in the world would the books want to avoid risk and minimize their EV? You are wrong.

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This isn't the first time I've heard of it, though

[TheRover]

buh? i don't understand your post. i hear false things all the time as well. and?

[kyro]

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buh? i don't understand your post. i hear false things all the time as well. and?

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sorry. i'm just babbling.

[youtalkfunny]

No, Red Sox Nation did not enter into these prices. If this team was wearing Kansas City Royals uniforms and not Boston gear, and put up the numbers they've put up this season, the lines would still be about the same. MAYBE there's a premium because it's a popular team like Boston, but that's only a few cents--it didn't send the line from -120 to -190.

Yes, the line is intended to divide the action. It is not intended as a prediction of the outcome--but it usually is in the ballpark of such a prediction.

53% = -110. If that's the break-even point, the line would appear on the board as follows:

SERIES PRICE:
Cleveland EV
Boston -120

Who's going to race over to the sportsbook and take even money on the Indians in a series? Nobody, that's who. Boston is clearly the favorite in this matchup, AND they have home-field advantage. This line is way too low. If this line gets posted, you get 100% Boston money, and 0% Cleveland money. This line doesn't need to be tweaked, it needs to be overhauled.

[Jack of Arcades]

I think the true odds definitely aren't 65/35 though. Boston is probably 60 at the max. And I think Boston has a huge advantage over everyone.

[Pudge714]

Epipen,
I will book a bet with you. PM or post for more details also I will request an escrow. So if you aren't willing to Escrow don't bother.