NO INFORMATION GAME THREAD

[KyrosMother]

30 minutes to night

0 aaronk56 - clowntable
0 amplify - fnord_too
5 clowntable - fnord_too
3 fnord_too - clowntable
1 IY - fnord_too
1 Jeremy517 - IY
1 lastchance - clowntable
0 luckayluck - clowntable
0 nicholasp27 - lastchance
0 tabako - clowntable
0 xorbie - Jeremy517

[clowntable]

Can you say more about the reasons for jeremy?

[Iron_Yuppie]

[ QUOTE ]
Jeremy is 100% the correct play tomorrow, regardless of what clown turns up.

[/ QUOTE ]

My WW instincts strongly say Jeremy is a villager.

[amplify]

Xorbie should really be voting for either fnord or clown here, what is he doing?

[fnord_too]

Funny how 2 of my wolf picks jumped on me at the end of the day. If any voting funny business goes on please remember this.

[Iron_Yuppie]

[ QUOTE ]
Funny how 2 of my wolf picks jumped on me at the end of the day. If any voting funny business goes on please remember this.

[/ QUOTE ]

By that logic, isn't it even more funny that you jumped on me after I said that I wanted to lynch you?

[Iron_Yuppie]

I thought it was decided that there were 2 vigilantes; does anyone have any evidence to say otherwise?

[clowntable]

It says one or two randed on the first page.

[LuckayLuck]

[ QUOTE ]
Can you say more about the reasons for jeremy?

[/ QUOTE ]
I have to leave in 5 minutes. So, the below is written in under 5 minutes. I feel very strongly about lynching jeremy tomorrow. This is a summary of why, and I may get into greater detail tomorrow if I live:

<ul type="square">[*]Look very very carefully at the traz lynch day. IY, it's difficult for you to understand the entire situation since you're a substitute, but there was a flow going on that day. Lots of resistance to the traz lynch. Jeremy votes for CLOWN (who is probably a wolf, which makes him look good). He states that he would, however, rather do tabako then traz. When it comes down to tabako v traz (and a clown lynch was not going to happen that day, just look at the flow...but, he would have looked good for voting him earlier) he moves to traz.[*]The next day, he starts off with a tabako vote. Not a clown vote. Interesting! This is the day of econ vs thebram: Jeremy manages to avoid voting for EITHER candidate. (granted, he said he wouldn't have a lot of time to post)[*]The day following that, he starts off with a clown lynch.[/list]
basically, jeremy has been trying to act good, but he's been a bit inconsistent.

Also, process of elimination has jeremy pretty much nailed as a wolf.

(it nails xorbie, also)



so gentlemen, regardless of what clown shows up tonight (it'll be wolf), lynch jeremy tomorrow. And regardless of what jeremy shows up tomorrow (it'll be wolf), lynch xorbie the day after (probably).

Iron_Yuppie put what I'm thinking into words really well:
[ QUOTE ]
If we lynch the following 5:

clown
fnord
amplify
xorbie
lastchance

I'm sure we are at least 85% chance to win.

[/ QUOTE ]

except, you need to add jeremy in there.


to put somewhat arbitrary percentages to the THIRD wolf, assuming clown and jeremy are wolves...

xorbie - 50%
nich - 20%
fnord - 15%
amplify - 5%
lastchance - 5%
IY - 5%

lol
okay, I spent an extra 2 minutes doing this, I just had to

[clowntable]

Not quite x:59 but I think it doesn't do any harm.
Everyone who played AS9 with me should have noticed that I did the last minute defense as a villager before.
Unfortunately I'm not sure what this means but I thought luckay would at least point it out.