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  #131  
Old 06-13-2007, 06:11 PM
raptor517 raptor517 is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

if ur trying to reduce variance, just ask if he wants to equity chop.
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  #132  
Old 06-13-2007, 08:26 PM
Marnixvdb Marnixvdb is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

[ QUOTE ]
if ur trying to reduce variance, just ask if he wants to equity chop.

[/ QUOTE ]

but is that + or -EV for Ahnuld? Math anyone?
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  #133  
Old 06-13-2007, 08:51 PM
bigt2k4 bigt2k4 is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

Am I the only one who clicked on all 4 rickrolls in Gild's post?
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  #134  
Old 06-13-2007, 09:12 PM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

[ QUOTE ]
Oh noooes! I can't distinguish between who is really being intelligent and who is levelling! )-:

But I wanna try the maths too.

76% to win running it once.
In all, probably close to 76% the second time if we average all cases (winning the first time and losing it in various ways).
Likeliness of winning both runs: 76%*76% = ~57.8% (to win the full pot), leaving ~42.2% to lose (still winning half the pot).

If X is the pot, our EV of running it twice should be .578X + .422(X/2) = ~78.9% of the pot.

Someone said the EV of running it once is ~75.7%.

Totally non-levelling conclusion: It is slightly more +EV to run it twice, and it also reduces variance for a large pot. The statistically correct play would be to run it twice.

[/ QUOTE ]

NO

ABSOLUTELY NOT

YOU GUYS ARE [censored] IDIOTS JESUS [censored] CHRIST
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  #135  
Old 06-13-2007, 09:29 PM
Evigt_Drabbad Evigt_Drabbad is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

i still dont get it [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #136  
Old 06-14-2007, 03:22 PM
Zeestein Zeestein is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

[ QUOTE ]
if ur trying to reduce variance, just ask if he wants to equity chop.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it'd reduce variance even more if you can agree on a preset range of hands for Ahnuld's shove and TheCleaner's call and dividing the pot on G-bucks equity
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  #137  
Old 06-14-2007, 04:19 PM
iSTRONG iSTRONG is offline
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Default Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live

The level of moronity in this thread is beyond belief.
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