#131
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] So far I see all of these as current qualifiers Georgia St. -3 Wis-Mil -2.5 [/ QUOTE ] Nevada-UNLV should be viewed as one of the rare rivalry game nonqualifiers. [/ QUOTE ] |
#132
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
1-1, 14-8 season
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#133
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
Anyone taking Central Florida vs. Penn State as a system play? It's a neutral site tournament in Orlando, but UCF is located there too.
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#134
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
As I mentioned with the Chaminade pick...there is a certain amount of advantage that is lost in tourneys such as these because PSU has been playing there too and is now very familiar and comfortable with the environment.
I mostly picked Chaminade because I liked them better in that game. Disney's complex could be 15-20 minutes or so from where UCF would normally play their home games for all I know. If we officially count Chaminade and Central Florida as being 'home' games because they are 'close enough' then do we also call USC practically a home game because they are playing in a similar tourney in Anaheim and will have most of the fan support? |
#135
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
Last time we went over this we decided that tourney games NOT in home gym do not count.
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#136
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
Any games for today? Potential games for tomorrow?
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#137
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
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Last time we went over this we decided that tourney games NOT in home gym do not count. [/ QUOTE ] I clearly missed that discussion. Anyway, I did bet UCF today, and it sorta makes up for my betting Bowling Green at -1 yesterday right before it moved to PK before tip-off. |
#138
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
I think Akron qualifies... it's a home game vs. Temple and the line is -4.5
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#139
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
AKR has a kind of small and weird home-court that I think is to their advantage.
I don't know if that aspect actually plays out in the numbers or not, just how it feels to me. |
#140
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Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
[ QUOTE ]
it's a home game vs. Temple and the line is -4.5 [/ QUOTE ] going going.... GONE (obviously this system has huge selection bias going in each direction. games that open at -1.5 and are total losers, end up not being used. easy winners that open -4 and close -6 aren't used either, so presumably it balances out. but in the end the system uses a weird set of games - games that don't have much betting action either way.) (i do like following the system, because it means i keep my eye on these games, and generally, there IS a lot of action on the small home favs.) |
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