AS-XII GAME THREAD

[matrix]

[ QUOTE ]
nn my list of 4 Boiler/Neil/Jack Bando/Scott we will find all three wolves - almost certain...

Jack gets back at 12 midday ish and <font color="green">will surely incriminate himself further</font>

[/ QUOTE ]

popcorn at the ready...

[ QUOTE ]
And I'm back.



My Suspect list ATM
--------------
FMXDA
Matrix
SH 3.0

[/ QUOTE ]

er why am I high on your suspect list Jack??

what do you make of today so far??

and why the vote for fmxda????

[matrix]

actually fmxda it occurs to me that you might be right - I might be wrong.

and if I'm wrong about who I think the seer really is then he's almost certainly a wolf (obv he's not on my wolf list right now)

also I seem to be the only person making much noise in this thread right now - so I am going to think more and post less until other people start making more noise.

PS Mayor Q is still trying to tax dead people - tho that might be another April Fool [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[LuckayLuck]

'Sup guys.
First of all, I am INVINCIBLE!!!! lol did anyone see the last minute post of Siegmund the wolf, yesterday? MANNNNNNNN OHHHHH MANNNN I WILL NEVER GET LYNCHED THIS GAME.
WHAT A GREAT FEELING


Out of sheer process of elimination, Boiler looks like a wolf. Also, guys, this ESoD is important.



I will
Vote Boiler. If a Neil wagon gets rolling, I'm going balls to the walls to defend him

[wdcbooks]

[ QUOTE ]
If I was the seer, which I am not of course, I would've peeked

Siegmund W
Bojtun V
FMXDA V

[/ QUOTE ]


I find it strange that this post of Nez's from late yesterday hasn't been quoted as far as I can see. It has been referred to, but I still see Fmxda on some people's lists. Of course I think the seer should come out, but I always do, so that is not a big surprise. I am likely voting Shorty or Boiler today.

The wolves are in a bind here if what I suspect is true. That is that DMK was killed because Scott and I are both villagers. Then Nez was killed because nutjob and fmxda are both villagers. Once we add the seer and his picks to that, the wolves cannot win without incriminating and lynching some of those people. Shorty is already starting that campaign on Scott.

[Jack Bando]

You're supposed to be #3 Matrix, it's not a really locked in spot.

After reading Sieg, I have to lean even more on Neil as villagery, Sieg went after him way to much IMO. Sieg also asked fmxda to give his opinion on Neil, seems like a tag team to me. Sieg also accused Books and SH3.0 as a poss wolf, and since I doubt Books as wolf (seer? seems possible. Wolf? no), I think his second person he suspects is a wolf. That, and I've been suspicious of SH3.0 for a while.

Matrix, who are you hinting to as the seer? You've basically said it without saying it, you agree with me that it's a good chance of being Books?

[Neil S]

Boiler, actually I quoted Nez's peeks for SH a while back.

Anyway, I had a realization in the shower. There is a scenario that I almost forgot, in which I think it makes sense for the wolves to do a setup kill at this point. If they think a couple of them have already been peeked by the seer, then they may figure they gain more to try to buy time with setups, than to kill the seer and get two of their own killed immediately.

Is that the case here though?

[Neil S]

Luckay, Why don't you switch to shortline, that way both your wolves are tied for the lead?

[wdcbooks]

[ QUOTE ]
Boiler, actually I quoted Nez's peeks for SH a while back.

Anyway, I had a realization in the shower. There is a scenario that I almost forgot, in which I think it makes sense for the wolves to do a setup kill at this point. If they think a couple of them have already been peeked by the seer, then they may figure they gain more to try to buy time with setups, than to kill the seer and get two of their own killed immediately.

Is that the case here though?

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope, because they have to know that if the seer has peeked two wolves he is coming out and doing so rather quickly.

[LuckayLuck]

[ QUOTE ]
Luckay, Why don't you switch to shortline, that way both your wolves are tied for the lead?

[/ QUOTE ]
Because Boiler is 5.6427% more likely to be a wolf than Shortline.

[ScottHoward3.0]

Count:
[0] Boiler voted for jack bando
[2] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for jack bando
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[6] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for jack bando
[0] Matrix voted for jack bando
[2] Neil voted for bojtun
[0] Nez voted for jack bando
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[2] Siegmund voted for jack bando

this was at 710pm

at 823pm, boiler switches from jack to neil
boiler stated earlier he wanted to lynch either jack or fmx. at the time he mentioned that jack had 4 votes, fmx 1, yet boiler voted for fmx. he switched to jack a little later after luckay told him fmx was vill. boiler says he read some other game and wasnt sure jack was a wolf. but why not switch to fmx? at this time fmx has only one vote, but it didnt bother boiler previously.
based on this and jacks just total awful ideas, i think we lynch jack, then boiler if jack is bad.

note: seigmund said something to the effect of "if neil turns up village, hes going to look to lynch boiler. to me this means neil is probably village and boiler is probably a wolf.

832pm
[0] Boiler voted for neil
[2] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for jack bando
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[5] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for jack bando
[0] Matrix voted for jack bando
[3] Neil voted for bojtun
[0] Nez voted for jack bando
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[2] Siegmund voted for jack bando

836pm, matrix switches to neil "to make it 4-4"

842pm:
[0] Boiler voted for neil
[2] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for jack bando
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[4] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for jack bando
[0] Matrix voted for neil
[4] Neil voted for bojtun
[0] Nez voted for jack bando
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[2] Siegmund voted for jack bando

843, boiler revotes neil
901pm, nez switches to seigmund
903pm luckay votes seigmund
904pm neil votes seigmund


[0] Boiler voted for neil
[1] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for jack bando
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[2] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for siegmund
[0] Matrix voted for neil
[4] Neil voted for siegmund
[0] Nez voted for jsiegmund
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[5] Siegmund voted for jack bando

914pm, boiler:I dont think Siegmund and Neil are evil together and I don't get a wolf vibe from Siegmund's posts. I'm staying on Neil.

917pm, dustin votes seigmund

[0] Boiler voted for neil
[1] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for siegmund
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[1] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for siegmund
[0] Matrix voted for neil
[4] Neil voted for siegmund
[0] Nez voted for siegmund
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[6] Siegmund voted for jack bando

922pm, matrix votes seigmund

[0] Boiler voted for neil
[1] Bojtun voted for neil
[0] Books voted for bojtun
[0] Dustin voted for siegmund
[1] FMXDA voted for neil
[1] Jack Bando voted for siegmund
[0] Luckay voted for siegmund
[0] Matrix voted for siegmund
[3] Neil voted for siegmund
[0] Nez voted for siegmund
[0] SH3.0 voted for fmxda
[0] Shortline voted for siegmund
[7] Siegmund voted for jack bando

10pm books switches from nutjob to neil.odd.

i think our best move today is jack or boiler
i thought boiler was a wolf big time day 1. i think hes been trying to act like the seer, but hes being way way way to obvious if hes really the seer, so i doubt he is.
jacks ideas have been bad. it appears hes ignoring anything weve been talking about.
id like to think shorty is the 3rd wolf, but not quite sure.
i wasnt thinking neil is a wolf, but if hes village, why wasnt there more of an effort to get him lynched instead of seigmund? it could have been done easily. odd. neil being a wolf messes up my brain, but everything he says is odd, as usual.
thoughts?