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View Poll Results: PICK ONE OMG
BLdSWtCUm 61 37.20%
BooostachE 69 42.07%
MAFCKINDONNA 15 9.15%
MJs_COACH 19 11.59%
Voters: 164. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1351  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:49 PM
Nicholasp27 Nicholasp27 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Springfield
Posts: 24,908
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
tokyo,

i can't be a good lynch today; i'm a good lynch once someone else claims angel; then u lynch me and find out i'm angel and lynch them and find out they are wolf

[/ QUOTE ]
nich,
I'm enjoying that all of your ev calcs seem to leave out that people think you're more likely to be a wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

that does NOT matter

village loses NOTHING by leaving me alive until angel dies or counters if i'm wolf

but they lose a LOT if they lynch me and i'm angel

so risk a lot for no gain? no thx
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  #1352  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:49 PM
DustinG DustinG is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: bubbling
Posts: 15,942
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

chuckles,

there is a lot of stuff from Dmk that I think is pretty villagery.

and dmk can read Luckay
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  #1353  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:50 PM
chuckleslovakian chuckleslovakian is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Saving Sinners
Posts: 12,055
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

Yeah KevKev is likely a wolf. Though the last time a newbie asked if the mod picked the wolf teams out he was villager. But other than that he has displayed about every new wolf tell out there.
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  #1354  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:51 PM
chuckleslovakian chuckleslovakian is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Saving Sinners
Posts: 12,055
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
chuckles,

there is a lot of stuff from Dmk that I think is pretty villagery.

and dmk can read Luckay

[/ QUOTE ]
really? and me? I could never read Luckay personally
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  #1355  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:54 PM
clowntable clowntable is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Lille, France
Posts: 7,076
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
tokyo,

i can't be a good lynch today; i'm a good lynch once someone else claims angel; then u lynch me and find out i'm angel and lynch them and find out they are wolf

[/ QUOTE ]
nich,
I'm enjoying that all of your ev calcs seem to leave out that people think you're more likely to be a wolf.

[/ QUOTE ]

that does NOT matter

village loses NOTHING by leaving me alive until angel dies or counters if i'm wolf

but they lose a LOT if they lynch me and i'm angel

so risk a lot for no gain? no thx

[/ QUOTE ]
Wrong. If we lynch you this will tell us something about SH's role as he's more likely to be a wolf if you turn up village and more likely to be village if you turn up wolf.
I'd love to get more info on SH because he's a deadly woflas seen in the last long game and he's accusing the [censored] out of me while not really talking about Neil who he suspects to be my wolf partner.

There's also metagame implications but that's a weaksauce reason.

It doesn't matter though because the chances of you being a villager are very close to 0% and postponing a wolf lynch is never good.
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  #1356  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:55 PM
Tokyo!! Tokyo!! is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Duffman says alot of things...
Posts: 6,642
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
that post Tokyo just made about is really persuasive

Tokyo,

what about what Nich just said about how if he was a wolf, it would never end up so close the way it was at nightfall?

[/ QUOTE ]

uhh, a ton of possibilities.

1) Neil is a wolf.
2) Wolves spread out in the early parts of long games because otherwise it is too easy to follow their patterns.
3) The wolves were not online near lynch time and instead were spread around from earlier in the day or on throwaway votes (1 vote on a guy who is clearly not going down).
4) A wolf or two might even have been on nich to make themselves look good.
5) Wolves piling on at the end of the day on a villager makes them look horrendous oftentimes. Giving up the other wolves to save one on D1 is a bad strategy. Long games are marathons, not sprints, so one really well concealed wolf >> 5 not concealed wolves. Prior to nichp's claim, if they piled, it would be so obvious. The people who piled on spook post-nichp's claim are mostly getting a free pass bc GT1T led the charge.

Satisfied? Any of these are just as possible as the garbage nich is spewing.
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  #1357  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:55 PM
Nicholasp27 Nicholasp27 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Springfield
Posts: 24,908
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

the chances of me being villager are 0%...100% chance i'm angel

but to u guys, it should be at least 50/50 angel/wolf...0% villager

and fine, if it tells u about scott's role, then u will still have that chance after i die...remember, if i'm wolf, real angel comes out in 3-4 days and i die, then u can use that info on scott
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  #1358  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:56 PM
SpacaB SpacaB is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 502
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

any reason to not kill neil today?
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  #1359  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:56 PM
DustinG DustinG is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: bubbling
Posts: 15,942
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
chuckles,

there is a lot of stuff from Dmk that I think is pretty villagery.

and dmk can read Luckay

[/ QUOTE ]
really? and me? I could never read Luckay personally

[/ QUOTE ]

well, he at least thinks he can read Luckay- and it was his clearing to led us to lynching Voj over you in asxi

more importantly,

you voted me yesterday, and now I've been peeked wolf, and you're voting Dmk?
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  #1360  
Old 08-14-2007, 02:57 PM
DustinG DustinG is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: bubbling
Posts: 15,942
Default Re: Guitar Heroes - GAME THREAD

*edit

his clearing you that led us to...
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