#121
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
[ QUOTE ]
I made a bet w/ a friend about who would do better in this if he made all his picks ahead of time and I made mine week to week. [/ QUOTE ] Why is your friend so dumb? |
#122
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
[ QUOTE ]
I've got Dallas this week. [/ QUOTE ] |
#123
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
I'm on Dallas too. Definitely their best matchup for quite awhile and I can save SD for when LT remembers how to kick ass again.
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#124
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
Dallas/SD both about 12 point favorites right now, so I'm on Dallas as well
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#125
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
I have a pick'm pool where points are assigned based on how bad teams are. Anyone wanna assign the likelyhood of Miami winning at home ? They are worth 9 points vs Dallas being worth 4. This seems like Miami's best chance to win at home (vs Oakland). I'm sure there's some EV calculation I can make here. If Dallas wins this 90% of the time and gives me 4 points, and Miami wins 60% of the time for 9 points (that sound about right ?), Isn't it a clear pick for Miami ?
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#126
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
bump !
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#127
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
If you can pick a team more than once, I would lean towards SD as I think the majority of people are scared to pick them.
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#128
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
[ QUOTE ]
If you can pick a team more than once, I would lean towards SD as I think the majority of people are scared to pick them. [/ QUOTE ] sadly I can only pick a team once. Also SD are worth very little points. The format is survivor+points, but if you get one wrong you keep going. You just don't get points for that choice. So going after Miami is a risk reward thing I may have to gamble on. |
#129
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
Less than 10% of the remaining field of 1,538 has used Dallas so I am reluctant to take the Cowboys b/c I think that will be everyone's pick. So should I use the separation theory and choose a different team? If so, who? I've already used Pittsburgh, Baltimore and New England.
Thanks for any advice. |
#130
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Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread
San Diego is the only other pick I really like
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