Poker After Dark thread (Week of 9/17 - Poker At Its Best)

[JDesab]

[ QUOTE ]
I noticed something weird during one hand of tonight's broadcast. When it was heads-up between Le and Lederer, there was the following hand:

Lederer: Ac6h
Le: Ah8c

After the turn, the board was Kd-5s-5d-As

Assuming there'd be a showdown, the hand would be a chop unless Howard rivered a 6 or Tuan rivered an 8. Each player had 3 outs to win the hand.

The weird part is that the on-screen odds showed Lederer as 7% to win and Le as 13% to win, which means 80% chance of a tie. But, if they each have the same number of outs, why is Le favorite over Lederer to win?

What's weirder is that cardplayer's odds calculator shows the same percentages.

Am I missing something?

[/ QUOTE ]


if one of the three kings left in the deck hit then le would have AAKK8 for the win. lederer would be holding AAKK6