3+1 NFL Challenge - 2006: Week 1 - Page 11

West · #1 09-07-2006, 03:39 PM

I don't think you're giving away too much. If someone really wants to go with who others like it's not too hard to browse through and spot teams being taken a lot (except for the fact that some people are using numbers). I know I saw a fair amount of "Eagles" and "Bengals" myself while browsing posts. Think there were a lot of "Bears" too.

BobJoeJim · #2 09-07-2006, 03:57 PM

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I don't think you're giving away too much. If someone really wants to go with who others like it's not too hard to browse through and spot teams being taken a lot (except for the fact that some people are using numbers). I know I saw a fair amount of "Eagles" and "Bengals" myself while browsing posts. Think there were a lot of "Bears" too.

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Well you're certainly right that there were lots of Eagles. They were far and away the most popular pick, with their $7900 dwarfing Pittsburgh's second place $5100. Their opponent Houston has only gotten $800 in action. It's a less useful pick, though, for someone who wants to follow along with actual bets, since the line has moved to -5.5 now at several places.

Also, since I mentioned there were two teams that hadn't received a single pick, let me just add that the other unanimous choice is San Francisco (with $3300) at +8.

Then there is Indianapolis -3, with their $4100, to just $400 for the Giants. Also extremely popular is the under in this game, with $2000 riding on it (more than is on any other total) and just $300 on the over.

Other unanimously popular totals include Cowboys/Jaguars under ($1400 to $0), Vikings/Redskins over ($1200 to $0), and Falcons/Panthers under ($1000 to $0). Not unanimous, but still popular, is Bears/Packers under, by a margin of $1800 to $600.

VarlosZ · #3 09-07-2006, 03:33 PM

$400 Bengals/Chiefs u46.5
$300 Steelers pk
$200 Jaguars -2
$100 Ravens/Bucs o33.5

Many thanks to Homer for stepping up and running the competition this year. You, sir, are a mensch.

I'm figuring that KC's offense has downgraded due to age and retirement, while their defense has finally improved to "decent" with their free agent additions plus some recent draft picks maturing. Combine that with Carson Palmer feeling shaky about his knee, and I really like the under here.