The Republican Horse Race

[Taso]

Is that an accurate poll? I don't think Romney is anything but 1st/2nd/3rd.

[BluffTHIS!]

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Is that an accurate poll? I don't think Romney is anything but 1st/2nd/3rd.

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It seems to be "accurate" as far as those being Rasmussen numbers. However I've always found Rasmussen to be off.


Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Trouble on Mitt Romney's Campaign Trail

[BluffTHIS!]

From the Cook Political Report site:

"Charlie Cook today gives Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney each a 45 percent chance of winning the GOP nomination, Hillary Clinton an 85 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination, and Democrats a 60 percent chance of capturing the White House."

[adanthar]

[ QUOTE ]
From the Cook Political Report site:

"Charlie Cook today gives Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney each a 45 percent chance of winning the GOP nomination, Hillary Clinton an 85 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination, and Democrats a 60 percent chance of capturing the White House."

[/ QUOTE ]

85 for HC has got to be way off. I don't like the Giuliani/Romney numbers, either, but HC's seem ludicrous. All it takes is Edwards dropping out/endorsing Obama and she's an instant dog, so I'm not seeing it.

[Moseley]

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85 for HC has got to be way off. I don't like the Giuliani/Romney numbers, either, but HC's seem ludicrous.

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You must have heard HC is got Citicorp's CEO's endorsement. With BIG BUSINESS backing her, she's a lock.

[ALawPoker]

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Is that an accurate poll? I don't think Romney is anything but 1st/2nd/3rd.

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Romney's strong in Iowa and leading (I think comfortably?) in NH. So even if he's currently polling off the pace nationally, you can still consider him 1st-3rdish from an odds standpoint.