#1
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AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
Villain seems like a mulit-tabling TAG. He is playing 18/16 over 90ish hands, and he should view me as TAG at this point.
How do you weigh his range after his flop c/r? Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter CO: $30 BTN: $81.15 SB: $384.25 BB: $249.70 UTG: $234.20 Hero (MP): $224.85 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP) UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8</font>, 2 folds, SB calls $7, BB folds Flop: ($18) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $14</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $42</font>, Hero ??? |
#2
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
KQ AK i say he is on 30% of the time .... equity against = 24%
99 TT is on 30% of the time .... equity against = 2.4% draw like nut flush or possible straight although i don't knwo if this player is calling with QJ in the blinds .. we will give him 30% .... equity against = 24% Then the ohter 10 % i say maybe a bluff which may be high against this player so i may just discount it all together Therefore not including our bluff we are getting almost 50% equity without accounting for any bluff percentage or anything .... this is the type of range i may put him on |
#3
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
the draw percentage though of like 30% against this player may be a little high though depends on his AF
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#4
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
AK is unlikely for cold calling pf and I dont think he plays KQ this fast too often. So its a typical case of flipping against a draw (which could easily have a gutter or pair on this board) or dead against a set, two pair or even a straight sometimes - I fold. This isnt a good flop to bluff u for him. If he shows a propensity to play back at c-bets/overvalues top pair then obv either shove or call and get it in on blank turns.
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#5
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
I say you just drop it. Therere too many hands he couldve cold called out of the blinds that have you raped
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#6
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
probably a fold. since he probably reraises AK preflop and doesn't call with AXs
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#7
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
if your pushing your draws all-in here and he knows you would, then you should be pushing your AA all in here.
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#8
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
Wow at all the advice telling him to fold.
1 raise on a drawy flop and we insta muck aces. A good tag probably 3 bets AK, KK, TT or 99 here. I think a lot of his range will be draws or air. If you re-raise your going to lose value from his bluffs with air and get called by hands that have you crushed or good draws. I think you should call this in position and re-evaluate the turn. |
#9
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
With absolutely no redraw and this big c/r I'm inclined to fold it here. Calling to reev is ok too, shoving seems really bad against such a tight player.
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#10
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Re: AA facing c/r from mulit-tabling TAG
[ QUOTE ]
Villain seems like a mulit-tabling TAG. He is playing 18/16 over 90ish hands [/ QUOTE ] If this is his stats over a larger sample, I really think he has only low/mid pairs here and nothing else. Hard to say with just 90 hands tho. He never has AK. I think most TAG's 3-bet TT here. I wonder if, other than 99, he might do this with lower pairs like Kilillan says: [ QUOTE ] I say you just drop it. Therere too many hands he couldve cold called out of the blinds that have you raped [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, that is kind what I was edging towards - but admitting to wanting to fold AA on a drawy flop feels like admitting you like s&m. |
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