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#9
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Ok, I can test the calculation:
How many combinations do he hold? KK............2 QQ............6 JJ............6 TT............3 88............3 44............3 AKs-FD............1 AQs-FD............1 =25 How many combinations do he fold if i push? JJ............6 TT............3 AKs-FD............1 AQs-FD............1 =11 How often do he fold? 11/25 = 44% of the time What does i win if he folds? Pot+Bet+Raise = 16,25 What is the fold EV? $16,25*44% = 7,15 What is my Equity if he calls? equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 46.114% 46.11% 00.00% 7761 0.00 { AcAs } Hand 1: 53.886% 53.89% 00.00% 9069 0.00 { KcKd, KcKh, QQ, TT, 88, 44 } What do I win if he calls? My cbet + pot + his stack = 55,25 The EV call(win)? (1-Fold%)*55,25*0,46 = 0,56*55,25*0,46 = 14 What do i loose if he calls? His stack - my cbet = 45 The EV call(loose)? (1-Fold%)*45*0,54 = 0,56*45*0,54 = -13 Total EV: EV Fold + EV Call(win) + EV Call(loose) = 7,15 + 14 - 13 = +8,15 It was close. I understand what the difference was now. I used the % number at the hold'em distribution window at pokerstove instead of counting combinations. |
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